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引用次数: 0
摘要
本文介绍了辨别性分析在中小医院的应用。利用歧视模型对所研究医院的破产概率进行了估计。金融危机用两种流行的模型进行测试,一种是国外的(Altman Z " Score模型),另一种是国内的(Mączyńska模型)。作者还构建了自己的模型,以适应医疗活动的规范。结果表明,该模型更适用于中小医院,预测准确率最高。这可能表明,在保健部门,特别是在中小型公司中,出现了不同的现象,影响到这些公司的财务困境。尽管如此,本研究表明,所提出的模型是对其进行评估的有用工具之一,特别是与其他金融和非金融工具相结合时。最后,有可能验证这样一个假设,即有可能创建一个专门针对中小企业医院的歧视性模型,其结果比使用不同的、未根据医疗保健部门具体情况进行调整的歧视性模型更准确。
Discriminatory models' adaptation in small and medium sized health care entities
The article presents the utilization of discriminatory analysis in small and medium sized hospitals. The discriminatory models are used to estimate the probability of researched hospitals bankruptcy. The financial distress is tested with two popular models, one foreign (the Altman Z’’Score Model) and one domestic (the Mączyńska Model). The authors also construct their own model, adapted to the specification of medical activity. The results indicate that the author’s model is much more suitable for the small and medium sized hospitals, as the rate of prediction is highest. It may indicate that in the health care sector, particularly in small and medium sized companies, different phenomena occur, which affect these companies’ financial distress. Despite this, this study indicates that the proposed model is one of the useful tools for their evaluation, especially when combined with other financial as well as non-financial tools. Finally, it was possible to verify the hypothesis that it is possible to create a discriminatory model dedicated to SMEs hospitals, which results are more accurate than using different, not adjusted to health care sector specifics, discriminatory models.
期刊介绍:
Technical Faculty in Bor, University of Belgrade has started publishing the journal called Serbian Journal of Management during the year 2006. This journal is an international medium for the publication of work on the theory and practice of management science.