使用Beneish M-Score和Altman Z-Score模型检测财务欺诈和公司破产

Snežana Knežević, M. Špiler, M. Milašinović, Aleksandra Mitrović, Stefan Milojević, Jovana Travica
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引用次数: 2

摘要

破产是任何公司都可能面临的风险,无论其规模大小。在公司发展前几年预测其破产的重要性是巨大的,这对财务可持续性也很重要。财务报告是投资者和债权人进行财务决策的重要平台。近年来,企业虚假财务报告的频率有所增加,投资者对资本市场的信心令人担忧。学者和行业专家采用各种风险管理技术来检测虚假财务报告。本文采用实例进行了研究。基于国内某上市纺织企业2017-2020年公开财务数据(已披露财务报表),应用Altman的Z-Score模型和Beneish的M-Score模型进行调查。在评估舞弊报告的可能性时,财务困境是一个重要的监测标准。当一家公司经营不善时,就更有动机进行虚假财务报告。研究发现,在识别被观察公司的财务报表中存在破产可能性和欺诈可能性方面,采用不同的方法得出的结果是不同的。这项研究的结果对投资者、审计人员、监管机构、银行家、税务和其他政府机构可能很重要。
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Using Beneish M-Score and Altman Z-Score models to detect financial fraud and company failure
Bankruptcy is a risk that any company can face, regardless of its size. The importance of predicting a company's bankruptcy for years before its development is enormous, and it is important for financial sustainability. Financial reporting is an important platform for making financial decisions of investors and creditors. In recent years, the frequency of false financial reporting by firms has increased and there are concerns about investors' confidence in capital market. Academics and industry experts adopt a variety of risk management techniques to detect fraudulent financial reporting. A case study was applied in this paper. Based on publicly available financial data (disclosed financial statements) of a domestic textile company for the period 2017-2020, whose shares are listed on the stock exchange, a survey was conducted based on the application of Altman's Z-Score model and Beneish M-Score model. Financial distress is an important criterion to monitor when assessing the likelihood of fraud reporting. When a company is operating poorly, there is a greater motivation to engage in fraudulent financial reporting. The findings show that the results differ according to the applied method in terms of identifying the possibility of bankruptcy and the possibility of fraud in the financial statements of the observed company. The results of the study can be important to investors, auditors, regulators, bankers, tax and other government bodies.
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审稿时长
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