波黑经济周期同步与货币政策

D. Jović
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引用次数: 0

摘要

波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那在上个世纪末采用货币发行局,并在25年前将其汇率与欧元挂钩,从而将其货币政策的很大一部分交给了欧洲中央银行,希望商业周期的同步将使外国货币政策完全适合波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那。与此同时,在这二十年中,波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那中央银行一直在发展和使用准备金要求和薪酬作为货币政策的酌情工具。研究表明,与其他国家的同步程度相比,国内经济周期与国外经济周期的同步程度相对较弱,根据这一发现,当前的自由裁量货币政策及其进一步发展和丰富新工具是完全合理的。波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那必须继续在不依赖外国货币政策的情况下制定自己的酌情货币政策。
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Business cycle synchronization and monetary policy in Bosnia and Herzegovina
By adopting the currency board at the end of the last century, and by pegging its exchange rate to the Euro, a quarter of a century ago, Bosnia and Herzegovina surrendered a great part of its monetary policy in the hand of European Central Bank in the hope that the synchronization of the business cycle will make foreign monetary policy completely suitable for Bosnia and Herzegovina. At the same time during these two decades, the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina has been developing and using reserve requirement and remuneration as discretionary instruments of monetary policy. The research shows that the domestic business cycle and the foreign one are relatively weakly synchronized compared to other countries' degree of synchronization, and by this findings current discretionary monetary policy and its further development and enrichment with new instruments is fully justified. Bosnia and Herzegovina must continue with developing its own discretionary monetary policy without relying on foreign monetary policy.
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