用数据包络分析和高级统计学测量投手的表现

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Contemporary Management Research Pub Date : 2015-10-09 DOI:10.7903/CMR.14157
Shihteng Chiu, Chia-Huei Hsiao, Huichin Wu
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文对美国职业棒球大联盟(MLB) 2008 - 2014赛季首发投手的投球表现进行了评价。我们使用数据包络分析(DEA)基于两个输入(即投球局数[ip]和每投局数)和三个输出(外场独立投球,自责分率[ERA]和技能互动自责分率)来评估30支MLB球队的首发投手在每个单赛季(2008年至2014年,仅常规赛季)的表现。我们使用CCR模型来计算投手在每个赛季的整体效率、规模效率、技术效率、效率值和松弛分析。结果显示,从2008年到2014年(常规赛),4、3、4、3、5、3、5个球每年都能达到总效率。通过分析结果,计算每位首发投手的性能指标和基准,确定每位球员的真实价值,帮助棒球队选择高指标球员,最大化球员效率。关键词:高级统计学,投手,数据包络分析,投球局数,自责分率。通讯作者:吴慧钦(elaine@mail.ntpu.edu.tw)引用本文:邱世腾、萧嘉慧、吴慧钦,“基于数据包络分析的投手绩效评估”,《当代管理研究》,第11卷,第4期,第351-384页,2015年。此文档的永久链接:http://dx.doi.org/10.7903/cmr.14157
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Measuring Pitchers' Performance Using Data Envelopment Analysis with Advanced Statistics
This paper evaluates starting pitchers’ pitching performance during the 2008 to 2014 Major League Baseball (MLB) seasons. We use data envelopment analysis (DEA) based on two inputs (i.e., innings pitched [IPs] and per pitched innings) and three outputs (fielding independent pitching, earned run average [ERA], and skill-interactive ERA) to evaluate the performance of the 30 MLB teams’ starting pitchers with IPs greater than 200 in each single season (2008 to 2014, regular season only). We used the CCR models to calculate the overall efficiency, scale efficiency, technical efficiency, efficiency value, and the slack analysis to measure a pitcher’s performance in each single season. The results showed that 4, 3, 4, 3, 5, 3, and 5 pitches reached overall efficiency each year, from 2008 to 2014 (regular season). By analyzing the results and computing performance indexes and benchmarks for each starting pitcher, we determine the true value of each player to help baseball teams select highly indexed players and maximize player efficiency. Keywords: Advanced Statistics, Pitchers, Data Envelopment Analysis, Innings Pitched, Earned Run Average     Corresponding author: Huichin Wu (elaine@mail.ntpu.edu.tw).     To cite this document:  Shihteng Chiu, Chiahuei Hsiao, and Huichin Wu, "Measuring Pitchers’ Performance Using Data Envelopment Analysis with Advanced Statistics", Contemporary Management Research, Vol.11, No.4, pp. 351-384, 2015.   Permanent link to this document: http://dx.doi.org/10.7903/cmr.14157
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来源期刊
Contemporary Management Research
Contemporary Management Research Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
3
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