2019冠状病毒病的爆发和印度尼西亚伊斯兰股市的反应

Rianda Rizky Permata, B. Purwanto, W. Ermawati
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究拟采用不同的检验方法和横断面回归分析新冠肺炎疫情下伊斯兰股票的过度反应现象及其影响因素。该研究使用了2019年8月9日至2020年10月26日雅加达伊斯兰指数(JII)的每日股票价格数据以及事件期间使用的股票。本研究的样本使用了与COVID-19相关的七个事件。研究结果表明,新冠病毒传播和封锁(事件2)的宣布会导致赢家股票的过度反应。同时,输家股的过度反应现象是由于美国财政刺激计划的宣布(事件5)和PSBB的宣布(事件6)。此外,新常态的公告事件(事件7)引发了赢家和输家股票的过度反应。结果表明,伊斯兰股票在短期内继续有几笔被法特瓦DSN MUI禁止的交易。在这种情况下,影响过度反应现象的变量与杠杆率和市值呈显著负相关,而交易量则显著影响过度反应现象,并与过度反应现象呈正相关。
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The Outbreak of COVID-19 and Islamic Stock Market Responses in Indonesia
The research intended to analyze the overreaction phenomenon in Islamic stocks due to COVID-19 as well as the influencing factors by utilizing different test methods and cross-sectional regression. The research employed data on the daily stock prices from August 9th, 2019 to October 26th, 2020 on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) and the stocks utilized during the period of events. The sample of this research utilized seven events related to COVID-19. The findings of this research reveals that the announcement of COVID-19 transmission and lockdown (Event 2) causes overreaction in winner stocks. Meanwhile, the overreaction phenomenon of loser stock is due to the announcement of the United States fiscal stimulus (Event 5) and the announcement of the PSBB (Event 6). Furthermore, the new normal announcement event (Event 7) triggers overreaction in the winner and loser stocks. The results indicate that Islamic stocks continue to have several transactions which are prohibited by the Fatwa DSN MUI in the short term. In this case, the variables that impact the overreaction phenomenon are shown to be substantially and negatively linked to leverage and market capitalization, while trading volume significantly influences and has a positive correlation with the overreaction phenomenon.
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