与核工作人员研究特别相关的流行病学研究:评论

Sergei V. Jargin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

一些关于低剂量低速率电离辐射照射的流行病学研究的局限性包括:不考虑自然辐射本底的剂量比较、将散发疾病毫无根据地归类为辐射源性疾病以及关于剂量-效应关系因果关系的结论。还指出了其他偏倚、混杂因素和研究间异质性。一些剂量效应相关性可以用剂量依赖选择、自我选择和回忆偏倚来解释。可以合理地假设,知道自己的剂量较高的人会更有动力接受医学检查,同时得到更多的关注。已报告的低剂量低速率照射与非肿瘤性疾病之间的剂量效应关系,对同一研究人员发现的这种癌症关系的因果关系提出了质疑。关于低辐射剂量的生物效应,可以通过登记寿命的大规模动物实验获得可靠的证据。对暴露于低剂量辐射的人口进行监测是重要的,但应谨慎作出结论,考虑到根据化石燃料生产商的利益扼杀核能生产的潜在偏见和经济动机。值得注意的是,以煤和石油为基础的发电站的健康负担最大;天然气的负担更小,核能的负担更低。温室气体排放也是如此
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Epidemiological Research with Special Reference to Nuclear Worker Studies: Commentary
Limitations of some epidemiological studies on low-dose lowrate exposures to ionizing radiation include dose comparisons disregarding natural radiation background, unfounded classification of sporadic diseases as radiogenic and conclusions about causality of dose-effect relationships. Other bias, confounders and inter-study heterogeneity have been pointed out. Some dose-effect correlations can be explained by a dose-dependent selection, self-selection and recall bias. It can be reasonably assumed that individuals knowing their higher doses would be more motivated to undergo medical examinations being at the same time given more attention. Reported dose-effect relationships between low-dose low-rate exposures and non-neoplastic diseases call in question the causality of such relationships for cancer detected by the same researchers. Reliable evidence in regard to biological effects of low radiation doses can be obtained in large-scale animal experiments with registration of life duration. The monitoring of human populations exposed to low-dose radiation is important but conclusions should be made with caution considering potential bias and economical motives to strangulate nuclear energy production in accordance with the interests of fossil fuel producers. Of note, health burdens are the greatest for power stations based on coal and oil; the burdens are smaller for natural gas and still lower for the nuclear power. The same ranking applies for the greenhouse gas emissions
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