越南居民消费价格指数与汽油和生猪价格的关系评价

IF 2.3 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science Pub Date : 2022-09-26 DOI:10.12691/jfe-10-3-1

Pham Minh Thuy

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究使用误差修正模型(ECM)考察了越南情况下燃料价格和生猪价格与通货膨胀之间的联系。这表明，当前汽油和生猪价格的变化将在下个月对消费者价格指数(CPI)值产生积极影响。由于CPI调整到长期均衡的速度较快，越南的CPI需要一个多月的时间才能达到这一均衡。综上所述，这些发现为使用石油和生猪价格波动作为越南更准确的CPI预测预警指标提供了一些建议。此外，建议在预测CPI时加入其他因素，如汽油价格和生猪价格的变化。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Evaluating the Relationship between Consumer Price Index with Gasoline and Hog Prices in Vietnam

This study examines the link between inflation with fuel prices and hog prices in the Vietnamese context using Error Correction Model (ECM). It reveals that the change in the current gasoline and hog prices will produce a positive effect on Consumer Price Index (CPI) values in the next month. Because of the high speed of adjusting CPI to long-term equilibrium, Vietnam’s CPI needs more than a month to reach this equilibrium. Taken together, these findings provide some suggestions for using the fluctuations in petroleum and hog prices as warning indicators for a more accurate CPI forecast in Vietnam. Moreover, it is recommended that other factors, for example, the changes in gasoline prices and hog prices, are added in predicting CPI.

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来源期刊

Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)

CiteScore

5.10

自引率

20.80%

发文量

审稿时长

12 weeks

期刊介绍： The Universidad ESAN, with more than 50 years of experience in the higher education field and post graduate studies, desires to contribute to the academic community with the most outstanding pieces of research. We gratefully welcome suggestions and contributions from business areas such as operations, supply chain, economics, finance and administration. We publish twice a year, six articles for each issue.