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At what age do Mexicans suffer the most financial stress? 墨西哥人在哪个年龄段承受的经济压力最大?
IF 2.4 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-04-2023-0087
Osvaldo García Mata
PurposeNeeds change as people get older. Procuring resources to satisfy them can generate anguish and insecurities in consumers due to their financial situation. This study aims to analyze the relationship between age and financial stress among Mexican adults and estimate the age of their maximum financial stress.Design/methodology/approachThis study is based on constructing a financial stress indicator using the confirmatory factor analysis and linear regression models with a quadratic term, employing data from the National Survey on Financial Inclusion 2021.FindingsResults show that the relationship between age and financial stress follows a quadratic pattern, with a maximum level at age 56, which varies according to sex, marital status, number of dependents, education and regions. These findings interest financial product designers and policy developers who aim to improve consumers' well-being.Research limitations/implicationsLongitudinal studies and indicators, such as financial fragility, are needed to facilitate refining models over time.Originality/valueThere is no evidence of studies that have addressed the age of maximum financial stress in Latin America. Doing so is relevant because identifying the stages in life when adults are most vulnerable to financial stress helps assess its causes more precisely, thus mitigating its adverse effects.
目的随着年龄的增长,人们的需求也会发生变化。为满足这些需求而购买资源,会使消费者因其财务状况而产生痛苦和不安全感。本研究旨在分析墨西哥成年人的年龄与财务压力之间的关系,并估算出他们财务压力最大的年龄。研究结果结果显示,年龄与财务压力之间的关系遵循二次方模式,在 56 岁时达到最大水平,且因性别、婚姻状况、受抚养人数量、教育程度和地区而异。研究局限性/影响需要纵向研究和指标(如财务脆弱性),以便随着时间的推移完善模型。原创性/价值目前还没有证据表明有研究涉及拉丁美洲财务压力最大的年龄。这样做很有意义,因为确定成年人最容易受到财务压力影响的人生阶段有助于更准确地评估其原因,从而减轻其不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: ESAN's 60th anniversary, second special section on business economics in Ibero-America and editorial transition 社论:ESAN 60 周年纪念、伊比利亚-美洲商业经济学第二专栏和编辑转型
IF 2.4 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-06-2023-334
Luis Chavez-Bedoya, Nestor U. Salcedo
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引用次数: 0
SMEs growth and profitability, productivity and debt relationships 中小企业成长与盈利、生产力与债务的关系
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-01-2022-0018
Zélia Serrasqueiro, Beatriz Pinto, Filipe Sardo
Purpose This study aims to seek to analyse the relationships between profitability, productivity, external debt and growth in SMEs. The authors also analyse firm size and age as explicative variables of small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) growth. Design/methodology/approach In this paper the data were collected for 3309 SMEs for the period 2010–2019. The authors estimate the model using the system generalised method of moments dynamic estimator. Findings The results show that after a certain level of profitability, this determinant positively impacts SME growth. Productivity influences positively the firm growth. There is a positive effect of external debt on SME growth, which can be explained by the insufficiency of internally generated funds. The authors obtained a negative signal between size and firm growth, contradicting Gibrat's Law (1931). Moreover, the results suggest that SMEs grow less after a certain age, suggesting that small firms grow less after reaching the minimum scale of efficiency. Practical implications For SME owner-managers, this study enhances the importance of profitability and labour productivity for firm growth. For policymakers, the results suggest the need for favourable conditions for SMEs in accessing external finance. Originality/value Profitability negatively impacts on SME growth. However, the authors found that above a certain level of profitability, probably, as firms accumulate retained earnings, profitability has a positive effect on SME growth. Moreover, this study shows that labour productivity and debt positively impact on SME growth, evidencing the importance of the availability of financial resources to sustain the growth of these firms.
本研究旨在分析中小企业的盈利能力、生产力、外债和成长之间的关系。作者还分析了企业规模和年龄作为中小企业成长的解释性变量。本文收集了2010-2019年期间3309家中小企业的数据。利用系统广义矩量动态估计方法对模型进行估计。结果表明,在盈利能力达到一定水平后,这一决定因素对中小企业的成长性有正向影响。生产率对企业成长有正向影响。外债对中小企业的成长有积极的影响,这可以用内部产生的资金不足来解释。作者得出了规模和企业增长之间的负信号,这与直布罗陀定律(Gibrat’s Law, 1931)相矛盾。此外,研究结果表明,中小企业在达到一定年龄后增长放缓,这表明小企业在达到最低效率规模后增长放缓。对中小企业业主经理人而言,本研究强化了盈利能力和劳动生产率对企业成长的重要性。对于政策制定者来说,研究结果表明需要为中小企业获得外部融资创造有利条件。原创性/价值盈利能力对中小企业成长有负向影响。然而,作者发现,在一定的盈利水平以上,可能随着企业留存盈余的积累,盈利能力对中小企业的成长有积极的影响。此外,本研究表明,劳动生产率和债务对中小企业的增长有积极影响,证明了金融资源的可用性对维持这些企业的增长的重要性。
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引用次数: 1
Spillovers between cryptocurrencies, gold and stock markets: implication for hedging strategies and portfolio diversification under the COVID-19 pandemic 加密货币、黄金和股票市场之间的溢出效应:对COVID-19大流行下对冲策略和投资组合多元化的影响
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-09-2021-0173
Ahlem Lamine, Ahmed Jeribi, Tarek Fakhfakh
Purpose This study analyzes the static and dynamic risk spillover between US/Chinese stock markets, cryptocurrencies and gold using daily data from August 24, 2018, to January 29, 2021. This study provides practical policy implications for investors and portfolio managers. Design/methodology/approach The authors use the Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) spillover indices based on the forecast error variance decomposition from vector autoregression framework. This approach allows the authors to examine both return and volatility spillover before and after the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. First, the authors used a static analysis to calculate the return and volatility spillover indices. Second, the authors make a dynamic analysis based on the 30-day moving window spillover index estimation. Findings Generally, results show evidence of significant spillovers between markets, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, cryptocurrencies and gold markets are net receivers of risk. This study provides also practical policy implications for investors and portfolio managers. The reached findings suggest that the mix of Bitcoin (or Ethereum), gold and equities could offer diversification opportunities for US and Chinese investors. Gold, Bitcoin and Ethereum can be considered as safe havens or as hedging instruments during the COVID-19 crisis. In contrast, Stablecoins (Tether and TrueUSD) do not offer hedging opportunities for US and Chinese investors. Originality/value The paper's empirical contribution lies in examining both return and volatility spillover between the US and Chinese stock market indices, gold and cryptocurrencies before and after the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. This contribution goes a long way in helping investors to identify optimal diversification and hedging strategies during a crisis.
本研究利用2018年8月24日至2021年1月29日的每日数据,分析了美国/中国股市、加密货币和黄金之间的静态和动态风险溢出。本研究为投资者和投资组合管理者提供了实际的政策启示。设计/方法/方法作者使用Diebold和Yilmaz(2012)基于向量自回归框架预测误差方差分解的溢出指数。这种方法使作者能够研究COVID-19大流行危机前后的回报和波动性溢出效应。首先,采用静态分析方法计算了收益溢出指数和波动溢出指数。其次,基于30天移动窗口溢出指数估算进行了动态分析。总体而言,研究结果显示市场之间存在显著溢出效应,特别是在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间。此外,加密货币和黄金市场是风险的净接受者。本研究也为投资者和投资组合管理者提供了实际的政策启示。已达成的研究结果表明,比特币(或以太坊)、黄金和股票的组合可能为美国和中国投资者提供多样化的机会。在新冠肺炎危机期间,黄金、比特币和以太坊可以被视为安全避风港或对冲工具。相比之下,稳定币(Tether和TrueUSD)不为美国和中国投资者提供对冲机会。本文的实证贡献在于研究了COVID-19大流行危机前后中美股市指数、黄金和加密货币之间的回报和波动溢出效应。这种贡献在帮助投资者在危机期间确定最佳多样化和对冲策略方面大有帮助。
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引用次数: 0
The specific factors of heterogeneity characterizing investors' beliefs 表征投资者信念异质性的具体因素
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-09-2021-0195
Hajer Chenini, Anis Jarboui
Purpose A separate study of the different behavioral biases does not allow for a full understanding of the complexity and stability of the heterogeneity of beliefs. Therefore, through a more global view of these anomalies, the authors wish to show that they can converge on a single concept, which is the heterogeneity of beliefs. Design/methodology/approach It is therefore essential to stress that the importance of this study is mainly reflected in the methodological approach used in the construction and analysis of the map and not only in the results achieved. This contribution states that structural analysis, as a means of building the cognitive map, can facilitate the task of investors and other decision-makers, in the identification and analysis of the heterogeneity of beliefs that can therefore guide investors' strategy in decision-making. Findings The authors have studied the behavior of the investor and its way of interpreting the information and the authors have emphasized the value of studying the concept of heterogeneity of beliefs in its complexity. So that part of the work seems to be relevant and crucial to filling, if you will, that void. In this sense, the authors have shown that behavioral abnormalities are multidimensional concepts: “self-deception”, “cognitive bias”, “emotional bias” and “social bias”. Originality/value In particular, this article will aim to achieve the objective of proposing a model for measuring the heterogeneity of beliefs. Thus, the authors want to show that the heterogeneity of beliefs can be measured directly through the different behavioral anomalies.
目的对不同的行为偏差进行单独的研究并不能充分理解信念异质性的复杂性和稳定性。因此,通过对这些异常现象的更全面的看法,作者希望表明他们可以集中在一个概念上,这就是信仰的异质性。因此,必须强调的是,这项研究的重要性主要反映在绘制和分析地图时使用的方法方法上,而不仅仅反映在取得的结果上。这一贡献表明,结构分析作为构建认知地图的一种手段,可以促进投资者和其他决策者在识别和分析信念异质性方面的任务,从而可以指导投资者的决策策略。作者研究了投资者的行为及其解释信息的方式,并强调了研究信念异质性概念的复杂性的价值。所以这部分工作似乎是相关的,关键的,如果你愿意的话,填补这个空白。从这个意义上说,作者已经证明了行为异常是多维概念:“自我欺骗”、“认知偏见”、“情感偏见”和“社会偏见”。特别地,本文将致力于实现提出一个衡量信念异质性的模型的目标。因此,作者想要表明,信念的异质性可以通过不同的行为异常直接测量。
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引用次数: 0
Do credit risks deter FDI? Empirical evidence from the SAARC countries 信用风险会阻碍外国直接投资吗?来自南盟国家的经验证据
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-09-2021-0191
Md Badrul Alam, Muhammad Tahir, Norulazidah Omar Ali
Purpose This paper makes a novel attempt to estimate the potential impact of credit risk on foreign direct investment (FDI hereafter), thereby focusing on a completely unexplored area in the existing empirical literature. Design/methodology/approach To provide a comprehensive understanding of the relationship between credit risk and FDI inflows, the study incorporates all the eight-member economies of the South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation (SAARC hereafter) and analyzes a panel data set, over the period 2011 to 2019, extracted from the World Development Indicators, using the suitable econometric techniques for the efficient estimations of the specified models. Findings The results indicate a negative and statistically significant relationship between the credit risk of the banking sectors and FDI inflows. Similarly, market size and inflation rate appear to be the two other main factors behind the increasing FDI inflows in the SAARC member economies. Interestingly, the size of the market became irrelevant in attracting FDI inflows when the Indian economy is excluded from the sample due to its higher economic weight. On the other hand, FDI inflows are not dependent on the level of trade openness, with most of the specifications showing either an insignificant or negative coefficient of the variable. Practical implications The obtained results are unique and robust to alternative methodologies, and hence, the SAARC economies could consider them as the critical inputs in formulating the appropriate policies on FDI inflows. Originality/value The findings are unique and original. The authors have established a relationship between credit risk and FDI for the first time in the SAARC context.
本文对信用风险对外国直接投资(FDI)的潜在影响进行了新颖的估计,从而关注了现有实证文献中完全未开发的领域。为了全面了解信贷风险与外国直接投资流入之间的关系,本研究纳入了南亚区域合作联盟(SAARC)的所有八个成员国,并分析了2011年至2019年期间从世界发展指标中提取的面板数据集,使用适当的计量经济学技术对特定模型进行了有效估计。研究结果表明,银行业信贷风险与FDI流入之间存在显著的负相关关系。同样,市场规模和通货膨胀率似乎是南盟成员国经济中外国直接投资流入增加的另外两个主要因素。有趣的是,当印度经济由于其较高的经济权重而被排除在样本之外时,市场规模在吸引外国直接投资流入方面变得无关紧要。另一方面,外国直接投资流入不依赖于贸易开放程度,大多数指标显示该变量的系数不显著或为负。实际影响所获得的结果对其他方法来说是独特而有力的,因此南盟各经济体可将其视为制定有关外国直接投资流入的适当政策的关键投入。原创性/价值这些发现是独一无二的。作者首次在南盟背景下建立了信用风险与FDI之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
A count model of financial inclusion in Ghana: evidence from living standards surveys 加纳普惠金融的计数模型:来自生活水平调查的证据
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-10-2021-0204
Haruna Issahaku, Munira Alhassan Muhammed, Benjamin Musah Abu
Purpose This paper aims to estimate the determinants of the intensity of use of financial inclusion by households in Ghana. Design/methodology/approach Due to the reality of a household using one or more financial products or services, this study uses the generalised Poisson model applied to GLSS6 and GLSS7 data collected in 2012/2013 and 2016/2017 respectively, to estimate the determinants of the intensity of use of financial inclusion. To deepen the analysis, a multinomial probit model is also applied. Findings Results show that infrastructural variables such as roads, public transport and banks stimulate the intensity of financial inclusion. In addition, agricultural development characteristics such as markets and cooperatives are essential for the intensity of inclusion. Research limitations/implications There is a need to incorporate how many services or depth of services that people use as part of the conceptualisation of financial inclusion, as this can provide more policy-relevant evidence to enhance priority setting in financial inclusion policies. Also, micro-level financial inclusion studies in agrarian economies should consider exploring agricultural development and infrastructure variables in the modelling framework. As lead to further studies, count models of financial inclusion should consider exploring cross-country analysis, the use of panel data, or other methodological approaches to provide more robust evidence. Originality/value Previous studies have not modelled financial inclusion based on a count model as a means of measuring intensity though conceptualisations highlight the fact that people use varied financial products or services. Following from this angle, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study provides the first attempt at analysing the underlying determinants of the number of financial products or services used by households.
本文旨在估计加纳家庭使用金融包容性强度的决定因素。由于家庭使用一种或多种金融产品或服务的现实,本研究使用适用于2012/2013年和2016/2017年分别收集的GLSS6和GLSS7数据的广义泊松模型来估计金融包容性使用强度的决定因素。为了进一步深入分析,本文还采用了多项式概率模型。研究结果表明,道路、公共交通和银行等基础设施变量刺激了普惠金融的强度。此外,市场和合作社等农业发展特征对包容性的强度至关重要。有必要将人们使用的服务数量或服务深度纳入普惠金融概念化的一部分,因为这可以提供更多与政策相关的证据,以加强普惠金融政策的优先事项设置。此外,农业经济微观层面的普惠金融研究应考虑在建模框架中探索农业发展和基础设施变量。为了进一步研究,普惠金融的计数模型应考虑探索跨国分析、使用面板数据或其他方法学方法,以提供更有力的证据。虽然概念化强调了人们使用不同的金融产品或服务这一事实,但之前的研究并没有基于计数模型对金融包容性进行建模,作为衡量强度的手段。从这个角度出发,据作者所知,本研究首次尝试分析家庭使用的金融产品或服务数量的潜在决定因素。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of competition and concentration on bank income smoothing in Central and Eastern European countries 竞争和集中度对中东欧国家银行收入平滑的影响
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-11-2021-0250
Albulena Shala, Peterson K. Ozili, Skender Ahmeti
Purpose This study examines the impact of competition and concentration on bank income smoothing in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. Design/methodology/approach The two-step system GMM method was used to analyse the impact of competition and concentration on bank income smoothing in 17 CEEs from 2004 to 2015. Findings Loan loss provisions (LLPs) are negatively related to bank competition and concentration. The authors find no evidence for income smoothing using LLPs in a high-competition or high-concentration environment. Research limitations/implications A limitation of the study is that the analysis was restricted to commercial banks. The authors did not examine investment banks or microfinance banks in this study. Also, not having access to databases does not allow them to include recent years in the study. Practical implications CEE commercial banks will likely keep fewer provisions or engage in under-provisioning when they face intense competition, and this can expose them to credit risk, which may threaten their stability. Originality/value This study is the first to investigate the effect of concentration and competition on income smoothing among CEE banks.
本研究考察了竞争和集中度对中东欧国家银行收入平滑的影响。设计/方法/方法采用两步系统GMM方法分析了2004年至2015年17个cee的竞争和集中度对银行收入平滑的影响。发现贷款损失准备金与银行竞争和集中度呈负相关。作者没有发现在高竞争或高度集中的环境中使用llp的收入平滑的证据。研究的局限性/启示本研究的局限性在于分析仅限于商业银行。作者在这项研究中没有考察投资银行或小额信贷银行。此外,由于无法访问数据库,他们无法将最近几年的数据纳入研究。实际影响中东欧商业银行在面临激烈竞争时可能会减少拨备或拨备不足,这可能会使它们面临信贷风险,从而威胁到它们的稳定性。本研究首次探讨集中度和竞争对中东欧银行收入平滑的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Economic integration and stock market linkages: evidence from South Africa and BRIC 经济一体化与股市联系:来自南非和金砖四国的证据
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-11-2021-0232
Thabo J. Gopane
Purpose This study examines the impact of regional economic integration (REI) on stock market linkages in the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) economic bloc. In this type of study, the BRICS framework is an appealing empirical case, given its uncommon characteristics. For example, BRICS member states come from remote geographic locations (Africa, Asia, Europe and South America) and have contrasting socioeconomic profiles. Design/methodology/approach An empirical design is framed from the perspective of bilateral trade between South Africa and BRIC. The author accepts trade intensity as a proxy of regional economic integration and then examines the resulting effect on the stock market co-movement within BRIC. The study applies a two-step econometric procedure of the BEKK-MGARCH and panel data models. Findings Overall, bilateral trade, as a proxy of economic inwctegration, is associated with an increase in stock market integration. This positive relationship is particularly observed during episodes of surplus trade, and more interestingly, was initiated three years after BRICS’ existence and continues to grow at an increasing rate. Practical implications The study outcome should benefit international trade practitioners and global investors interested in portfolio diversification or concerned with risk spillovers. Originality/value First, notwithstanding South Africa's significant economic presence in the African continent, to the best of the author’s knowledge, this is the first study to empirically evaluate the BRICS economic integration on their stock market linkages from the perspective of South Africa. The value of this contribution is that further work may investigate the bidirectional spillover impact conveyed by South Africa's trade interactions within the juxtaposition of Africa and BRICS economies. Second, given that research on REI and stock market integration has historically concentrated on mature regional blocs of Europe, Asia, South and North America, the current study advances knowledge while correcting the prevailing literature imbalance.
本研究探讨了区域经济一体化(REI)对金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)经济集团股票市场联系的影响。在这类研究中,金砖国家框架是一个很有吸引力的经验案例,因为它具有不同寻常的特点。例如,金砖国家成员国来自遥远的地理位置(非洲、亚洲、欧洲和南美),社会经济状况也存在差异。设计/方法/方法从南非和金砖四国之间的双边贸易的角度进行实证设计。作者接受贸易强度作为区域经济一体化的一个代表,然后考察了由此产生的对金砖四国股票市场共同运动的影响。本研究采用BEKK-MGARCH和面板数据模型的两步计量经济学程序。总体而言,双边贸易作为经济一体化的代表,与股市一体化的增加有关。这种积极的关系在贸易顺差时期尤其明显,更有趣的是,这种关系是在金砖国家成立三年后开始的,并继续以越来越快的速度增长。研究结果应有利于国际贸易从业者和对投资组合多样化感兴趣或关注风险溢出的全球投资者。首先,尽管南非在非洲大陆具有重要的经济地位,但据作者所知,这是第一个从南非的角度对金砖国家的经济一体化及其股票市场联系进行实证评估的研究。这一贡献的价值在于,进一步的工作可能会研究南非在非洲和金砖国家经济并存的情况下贸易互动所带来的双向溢出影响。其次,考虑到历史上对REI和股票市场整合的研究主要集中在欧洲、亚洲、南美和北美等成熟的区域集团,本研究在推进知识的同时纠正了普遍存在的文献失衡。
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引用次数: 1
Types of organizational culture and sustainability in ecotourism businesses in southern Mexico 墨西哥南部生态旅游企业的组织文化和可持续性类型
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1108/jefas-12-2021-0267
Efraín Medina-Álvarez, Patricia S. Sánchez-Medina
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the understanding of the relationship between different types of organizational culture (hierarchical, clan or group, market or rational and adhocratic) and sustainability through three dimensions (economic, environmental and social) in ecotourism businesses in Oaxaca and Chiapas, Mexico. Design/methodology/approach In this research 80 questionnaires were administered in the form of face-to-face interviews to ecotourism business owners'. Through a discriminant analysis and the theoretical support of the competing values framework (CVF), the prevailing types of culture were identified, and their influence was analysed through a regression analysis. Findings The results show that ecotourism businesses which are driven by hierarchical culture tend to have a greater focus on economic sustainability, while those businesses with a market or rational culture show a positive and significant influence on environmental sustainability. Likewise, businesses with adhocratic culture achieve sustainability holistically; however, the data reveal that clan or group culture is not associated with social sustainability. Originality/value This study offers empirical research that explains the relationship between organizational culture and sustainability. Additionally, it contributes to the study of environmental management issues in the ecotourism sector.
本文的目的是通过三个维度(经济、环境和社会),帮助理解墨西哥瓦哈卡和恰帕斯州生态旅游企业中不同类型的组织文化(等级、氏族或群体、市场或理性和民主)与可持续性之间的关系。设计/方法/方法本研究以面对面访谈的形式对生态旅游企业主进行了80份问卷调查。通过判别分析和竞争价值框架(CVF)的理论支持,确定了主流文化类型,并通过回归分析分析了它们的影响。结果表明,受等级文化驱动的生态旅游企业更注重经济可持续性,而具有市场文化或理性文化的生态旅游企业对环境可持续性有显著的正向影响。同样,拥有民主文化的企业也能从整体上实现可持续性;然而,数据显示宗族或群体文化与社会可持续性无关。原创性/价值本研究对组织文化与可持续性的关系进行了实证研究。此外,它有助于研究生态旅游部门的环境管理问题。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science
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