市场下跌:禁止卖空是解决方案吗?

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引用次数: 6

摘要

为应对2008年秋季金融股价格的急剧下跌,许多国家的监管机构禁止卖空特定股票和行业。有证据表明,这些禁令对阻止股价下跌几乎没有作用,反而显著增加了流动性成本。2011年8月,标准普尔(Standard and Poor 's)宣布下调美国国债评级,导致美国市场大幅下跌。我们的横断面检验表明,股票价格的下跌并没有明显地被卖空所驱动或放大。卖空似乎不是近期股市下跌的根本原因。此外,当特定公司或整体经济基本面疲弱时,禁止卖空似乎并不能阻止股价下跌,而且可能会给市场参与者带来高昂的成本。
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Market Declines: Is Banning Short Selling the Solution?
In response to the sharp decline in prices of financial stocks in the fall of 2008, regulators in a number of countries banned short selling of particular stocks and industries. Evidence suggests that these bans did little to stop the slide in stock prices, but significantly increased costs of liquidity. In August 2011, the U.S. market experienced a large decline when Standard and Poor’s announced a downgrade of U.S. debt. Our cross-sectional tests suggest that the decline in stock prices was not significantly driven or amplified by short selling. Short selling does not appear to be the root cause of recent stock market declines. Furthermore, banning short selling does not appear to prevent stock prices from falling when firm-specific or economy-wide economic fundamentals are weak, and may impose high costs on market participants.
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