协调费用:1993-2010年拉丁美洲总统候选人人数

IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Revista De Ciencia Politica Pub Date : 2017-08-28 DOI:10.4067/S0718-090X2017000100002
D. Luján
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引用次数: 3

摘要

参加选举的候选人数量可能会产生重大的政治后果。在拉丁美洲,许多国家的总统竞选产生了大量候选人,这与基于这实际上是一个成员竞争的理论预期相矛盾。我的解释是根据候选人在不稳定和低纲领的选举市场中所产生的协调成本。考虑到这个成本,我们应该期望进入决策超过理论上限。在实证层面,使用1993年至2010年18个拉丁美洲国家总统选举数据的统计模型对这一解释进行了检验。我找到了支持这一假设的证据,即不稳定和低程序化的选举市场与多于预期的总统候选人数量有关。
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El costo de coordinar: número de candidatos presidenciales en américa latina 1993-2010
The number of candidates competing in elections may have significant political consequences. In Latin America, presidential contests in many countries yield a large number of candidates, which contradicts theoretical expectations based on the fact that this is effectively a single-member competition. I provide an explanation based on coordination cost incurred by candidatess in unstable and low-programmatic electoral markets. Given this cost, we should expect entry decisions to exceed the theoretical upper limit. At the empirical level, the explanation is tested using statistical models of presidential election data in 18 Latin American countries between 1993 and 2010. I find evidence in support of the hypothesis that unstable and low-programmatic electoral markets are associated with a larger than expected number of presidential candidates.
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来源期刊
Revista De Ciencia Politica
Revista De Ciencia Politica POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
35.70%
发文量
15
期刊介绍: The Revista de Ciencia Política is an international and refereed journal published by the Instituto de Ciencia Política of the Pontificia Uniersidad Católica de Chile. It appears twice a year in July and December and publishes articles in all areas of Political Science. It was founded in 1979. The editorial policies of the Revista de Ciencia Política encompass all areas of specialization and methodological approaches within Political Science. The journal promotes the academic discussion of present and past political phenomena, as well as conceptual analyses, from the perspective of the various sub-disciplines of Political Science: Political Theory, Comparative Politics, Interrnationnal Relations, Formal Analysis, Regional Studies, etc.
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