欧亚一体化的起源、形成与发展前景

Q4 Social Sciences Perspectives on Federalism Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI:10.21686/2073-1051-2021-2-115-148
G. I. Chufrin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

苏联解体后,在其领土上出现的新主权国家面临着经济生存和发展、提供社会需求和防止政治混乱等紧迫问题。在这些条件下,最佳结果似乎是在这些国家之间找到一种互惠互利的州际关系模式,这种模式接受新的政治现实,将在苏联单一民族经济联合体的框架内保持(然后-发展)它们长期经济互动的积极成果。然而,后苏联空间的离心趋势实际上需要相当长的时间才能被向心趋势所取代。直到21世纪第一个十年结束时,俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦和白俄罗斯这三个国民生产总值最高的后苏联国家才成功地协调了他们的立场,有利于相互经济合作,实际上是一体化的特征,并决定为此目的首先建立关税同盟,然后是联合共同空间,最后是欧亚经济联盟。本文分析了这些一体化协会的基本成就和不足,探讨了欧亚一体化进程的逐步进展及其在发展与外国伙伴合作中的作用。此外,本文还探讨了俄罗斯在后苏联空间的政治和经济国家利益所面临的主要挑战和威胁,并概述了消除或消除这些挑战和威胁的主要方式和手段。此外,文章还探讨了欧亚经济联盟的现状和发展前景,该联盟是在冠状病毒大流行和世界石油市场问题造成的严重全球经济危机的条件下运作的。除了这些全球性因素外,欧亚经济联盟的活动还受到一些地区问题和挑战的严重负面影响-从西方持续的贸易和经济制裁制度,到一些欧亚经济联盟成员国(亚美尼亚、白俄罗斯)在多极化口号下进行的政治演习,导致其国内和外交政策危机,也严重破坏了他们参与欧亚经济联盟的经济活动。尽管如此,上述分析的总体结论还是有利于欧亚经济联盟发展的积极前景,欧亚经济联盟在极端条件下成功地保持了其生存能力。这一结论也得到了所有联盟成员的支持,他们正式表示打算继续相互交往和深化相互合作。
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The Origin, Formation and Development Prospects of the Eurasian Integration
After collapse of the Soviet Union new sovereign states that emerged on its territory faced pressing problems of economic survival and development, provision of social needs and prevention of a political chaos. Under these conditions an optimum outcome seemed to be to find a mutually beneficial model of interstate relationship between these countries which accepting new political realities would preserve (and then – develop) positive results of their long-term economic interaction in the framework of the USSR single national-economic complex. However, a rather long time was actually required before centrifugal tendencies in the post-Soviet space were replaced by centripetal ones. And only by the end of the first decade of the 21st century Russia, Kazakhstan and Byelorussia – the top post-Soviet states in terms of GNP – succeeded in coordinating their positions in favor of a mutual economic cooperation, being in fact of an integration character, and take a decision to create for this purpose first the Customs Union, then – the United Common Space and finally – the Eurasian Economic Union. The article presents analysis of basic achievements and shortcomings of these integration associations, explores the step-by-step progress of the Eurasian integration process as well as the role in its development of cooperation with foreign partners. Also, major challenges and threats facing Russian political and economic national interests in the post-Soviet space are explored and principal ways and means to be undertaken for their elimination or neutralization are outlined. Also, the article explores the current state and development prospects of the Eurasian Economic Union which functions in conditions of a deep global economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic and problems at the world oil market. Besides these factors of a global character the EEU activities experience a serious negative impact of a number of regional problems and challenges – from a continuing regime of Western trade and economic sanctions and up to political maneuvers carried out by some EEU members (Armenia, Byelorussia) under slogans of multipolarity which resulted in a crisis of their domestic and foreign policies and also seriously undermined their participation in the EEU economic activities. General conclusion of the above analysis is made nevertheless in favor of positive prospects of the EEU development which has succeeded in preserving its viability under extreme conditions. This conclusion is also supported by all Union members officially stating their intention to continue their interaction and deepen mutual cooperation. 
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.10
自引率
0.00%
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0
审稿时长
5 weeks
期刊介绍: Perspectives on Federalism is an Open Access peer-reviewed journal, promoted by the Centre for Studies on Federalism. This initiative follows the Bibliographical Bulletin on Federalism’s success, with an average of 15000 individual visits a month. Perspectives on Federalism aims at becoming a leading journal on the subject, and an open forum for interdisciplinary debate about federalism at all levels of government: sub-national, national, and supra-national at both regional and global levels. Perspectives on Federalism is divided into three sections. Along with essays and review articles, which are common to all academic journal, it will also publish very short notes to provide information and updated comments about political, economic and legal issues in federal states, regional organizations, and international organizations at global level, whenever they are relevant to scholars of federalism. We hope scholars from around the world will contribute to this initiative, and we have provided a simple and immediate way to submit an essay, a review article or a note. Perspectives on Federalism will publish original contributions from different disciplinary viewpoints as the subject of federalism requires. Papers submitted will undergo a process of double blind review before eventually being accepted for publication.
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