猪肉桶作为信号工具:以美国环境政策为例

Hélia Costa
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引用次数: 3

摘要

环境政策会受到政治周期的影响吗?本文研究了环境支出是否被用作具有信号目的的猪肉桶。它发展了一个两期的选举竞争模型,在这个模型中,政治家们利用当前的政策向理性的、有远见的选民表明他们的偏好。存在一种平衡,在位者在多数制度中使用猪肉桶支出来发出信号。结果表明,它是针对意识形态同质群体的,如果现任者是“跛脚鸭”或贴现率高,则会减轻这种影响。该模型的预测使用美国州一级环境支出的数据进行了测试。实证结果表明,信号动机是向环境产生猪肉桶的核心机制。
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Pork Barrel as a Signaling Tool: The Case of US Environmental Policy
Are environmental policies affected by the political cycle? This paper investigates if environmental spending is used as pork barrel with signaling purposes. It develops a two-period model of electoral competition where politicians use current policies to signal their preferences to rational, forward-looking voters. There exists an equilibrium where incumbents use pork barrel spending for signaling in majoritarian systems. Results show that it is directed towards ideologically homogeneous groups, and is mitigated if the incumbent is a 'lame duck' or has a high discount rate. The predictions of the model are tested using data on US state level environmental expenditures. The empirical results show support for the signaling motive as a central mechanism in generating pork barrel towards the environment.
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