巴基斯坦洪灾:对农业和粮食供应的洞察

IF 0.5 Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Trakya University Journal of Natural Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-23 DOI:10.23902/trkjnat.1211393
Nida Sohai̇l, Yousra Sarfaraz, Ammara Rafique
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Around 45% of the country’s cropland has already been deluged; vegetables and cotton crop have been wiped out completely. These are not the sole effects; flooding also creates complex abiotic stress in crops, including oxygen depletion, altered chemical characteristics of soil and reduced light availability2. The combination of all these physical and chemical changes will substantially reduce the crop’s development, growth and yield3. \nFood price inflation in August 2022, was highest since May 1975, and is expected to surge by another 30% due the deadly flood. The cost of edibles has increased significantly, with potatoes’ cost hiking four times, tomato’s prices surging fivefold and Ghee (a fat used for cooking) soared to 400% while onions tripled since last month. To reduce inflation steps are being taken, vegetables and other items are imported from Afghanistan and Iran. So far, more than 727,000 cattle have died, leading to a shortage of meat, milk and other dairy products. 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引用次数: 1

摘要

自2022年5月以来,由于与降雨有关的洪水和内涝,巴基斯坦经历了多次农业灾害。巴基斯坦创纪录的降雨量是灾难性的,对该国的作物生产造成了相当大的损害。作为一个农业国家,大约40%的劳动力依赖农业就业,而该部门约占经济的五分之一。极端的恶劣天气并不能解放国家。起初,巴基斯坦正在应对热浪危机,然后是洪水。巴基斯坦是第五大棉花生产国,占全球产量的5%。洪灾造成的损失进一步减少了全球棉花供应,促使农业部门陷入动荡。全国大约45%的农田已经被洪水淹没;蔬菜和棉花都被彻底摧毁了。这些还不是唯一的影响;洪水还会对作物造成复杂的非生物胁迫,包括缺氧、土壤化学特性改变和光效降低。所有这些物理和化学变化的结合将大大降低作物的发育、生长和产量。2022年8月的食品价格上涨是自1975年5月以来的最高水平,由于致命的洪水,预计将再上涨30%。食品价格大幅上涨,土豆价格上涨4倍,番茄价格飙升5倍,酥油(一种用于烹饪的脂肪)价格飙升400%,洋葱价格上涨3倍。为了减少通货膨胀,政府正在采取措施,从阿富汗和伊朗进口蔬菜和其他物品。到目前为止,已有超过72.7万头牛死亡,导致肉类、牛奶和其他乳制品短缺。《论坛快报》报道称,牲畜的损失影响了该国的生计,该国近800万农村家庭养牛,此前估计其35-40%的收入来自牲畜。气候灾难每年都在增加,每一次自然灾害都打破了风暴、洪水、干旱、野火和地震等以往的记录。至关重要的是,作为一个全球社区,我们开始正视我们对待地球的方式。我们必须集中精力建设一个更加可持续和绿色的未来。然而,气候变化的影响将在未来几年继续,我们必须学会准备和减轻这些灾害。共同努力,作为一个社区作出反应,可以帮助我们建立复原力,确保不让任何一个人掉队。我们建议巴基斯坦需要进口更多的粮食,以弥补国内产量的下降。与此同时,那些通常依赖巴基斯坦出口的国家,比如那些出口棉花和大米的国家,将需要寻找替代供应商,这将给世界资源供应带来额外的压力。我们必须改善水资源管理,提高农业生产力,以加强粮食安全,增强抵御气候风险的能力。升级后的Trimmu和Panjnad拦河坝需要配备现代技术,并且必须具备更大的调节水流的能力,从而在未来保护大片农田免受洪水侵袭。
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Pakistan Floods: An Insight into Agriculture and Food Supply
To the Editor, Pakistan has experienced agricultural disasters since May 2022 as a result of rainfall-related flooding and waterlogging. The record rainfall rate witnessed in Pakistan was disastrous and marked considerable damage to crop production in the country. Being an agricultural country around 40% of the labor force relies on agriculture for employment, while the sector represents about a fifth of the economy1. The extremities of wild weather are not emancipating the country. At first, Pakistan was dealing with the heat-waves crisis and then floods. Pakistan is the 5th largest cotton producer, accounting for 5% of global output. The damage after flooding further shrinks the world’s cotton supply, prompting the agricultural sector into turmoil. Around 45% of the country’s cropland has already been deluged; vegetables and cotton crop have been wiped out completely. These are not the sole effects; flooding also creates complex abiotic stress in crops, including oxygen depletion, altered chemical characteristics of soil and reduced light availability2. The combination of all these physical and chemical changes will substantially reduce the crop’s development, growth and yield3. Food price inflation in August 2022, was highest since May 1975, and is expected to surge by another 30% due the deadly flood. The cost of edibles has increased significantly, with potatoes’ cost hiking four times, tomato’s prices surging fivefold and Ghee (a fat used for cooking) soared to 400% while onions tripled since last month. To reduce inflation steps are being taken, vegetables and other items are imported from Afghanistan and Iran. So far, more than 727,000 cattle have died, leading to a shortage of meat, milk and other dairy products. Express Tribune reported that the loss of livestock has impacted livelihood in a country where almost 8 million rural families raise cattle and their previously estimated 35-40% income came from livestock4. Climate catastrophes are readily increasing every year, with every natural disaster breaking previous records of storms, floods, drought, wildfires and earthquakes. It is vital that as a global community, we begin to address the way we treat our planet5. Our efforts must focus on building a more sustainable and green future. However, the effects of climate change will continue over the coming years, and we must learn to prepare and mitigate these disasters. Working together, responding as a community can help us build resilience and ensure that no one is left behind. We suggest that Pakistan’s will need to import more food in order to make up for lower domestic yields. Meanwhile, countries that typically depend on Pakistan's exports, like as those that export cotton and rice will need to find alternate suppliers, which will put extra pressure on the world's supply of resources. We must improve water resource management and increase agricultural productivity to enhance food security and build resilience against climate risks. The upgraded Trimmu and Panjnad barrages needs to be equipped with modern technology and must have expanded capacity to regulate the flow of water, which will subsequently protect the vast farmlands from flooding in the future.
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Trakya University Journal of Natural Sciences
Trakya University Journal of Natural Sciences MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES-
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