大宗商品与CDS指数之间的关系?证据来自阿基米德科普拉斯

Samar Zlitni, Ahmed Ghorbel, W. Khoufi
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摘要

本文采用copula模型来计算最优套期保值比率。在场外交易市场进行套期保值可能是最常见的风险管理方式,在这一领域已经进行了许多研究。我们的调查有助于当前文献,因为我们的目标是使用两种主要商品(黄金和石油)对冲信用违约掉期。数据集为日频率,由2008年6月27日至2016年2月24日,共观测1925次。这些观察结果被分为三个子样本:全球金融危机(2008年6月27日至2009年12月31日)、欧洲主权债务危机(2010年4月1日至2012年12月31日)和危机后时期(2013年2月1日至2016年2月24日)。结果表明,在cds投资组合中加入黄金可以提高风险调整后的业绩。此外,投资者应该持有黄金而不是石油,以降低他们的投资风险。
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What Relationships between Commodities and CDS Indices? Evidence from Archimedean Copulas
In this paper, we use the copula model so as to compute the Optimal Hedge Ratio. Hedging with OTC markets is probably the most common way of managing risk, and much research has been done within this field. Our investigation contributes to the current literature insofar as we aim to hedge Credit Default Swaps using two major commodities (gold and oil). The data sets are of daily frequency, comprising the period from 06/27/2008 to 02/24/2016 for a total of 1925 observations. These observations were divided into three subsamples: the global financial crisis (06/27/2008 to 12/31/2009), the sovereign debt crisis in Europe (01/04/2010 to 12/31/2012) and the post-crisis period (01/02/2013 to 02/24/2016). Results show that adding gold into the CDSs portfolios may enhance the risk-adjusted performance. In addition, investors should hold gold than oil in order to reduce the risk of their investment.
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