在选定的非洲国家的非洲内部出口绩效的决定因素

Abiodun Samuel Isayomi, T. Akintunde
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引用次数: 2

摘要

处于要素驱动发展阶段的发展中国家通常受到国内供给方面的制约,这些制约阻碍了它们将比较优势转化为发展。本研究考察了选定非洲国家对非洲内部出口绩效的国内供给侧决定因素。该研究使用混合平均组(PMG)技术分析了非洲五个次区域中每个最大经济体1994年至2019年的面板数据。研究结果表明,资本形成、体制质量、宏观经济稳定性、技术采用和基础设施是非洲内部出口业绩的重要长期决定因素,而劳动力规模对非洲内部出口份额的长期决定因素并不显著。除了基础设施和资本形成的一个周期滞后外,所有解释变量的短期系数都不显著。误差修正项系数为负,且有统计学意义。根据这项研究的结果,宏观经济稳定、基础设施发展、亲市场机构、资本形成和技术采用是所研究国家非洲内部出口业绩的必要条件。
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The Determinants of Intra-Africa Export Performance in Selected African Countries
Developing countries in the factor-driven stage of development are usually bedevilled by domestic supply-side constraints which hinder translation of their comparative advantages to development. This study examines the domestic supply-side determinants to intra-Africa export performance in selected African countries. The study analysed 1994 to 2019 panel data of the biggest economies in each of the five African sub-regions, using pooled mean group (PMG) technique. The result from the study revealed capital formation, institutional quality, macroeconomic stability, technology adoption and infrastructure as significant long-run determinants of intra-Africa export performance while size of labour force was found to be insignificant long-run determinant of intra-Africa export share. All short-run coefficients of explanatory variables except one period lag of infrastructure and capital formation were insignificant. The coefficient of error correction term was negative and statistically significant. Based on the findings of this study macroeconomic stability, infrastructural development, pro-market institutions, capital formation and technology adoption are imperative for intra-Africa export performance in the studied countries.
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