不确定性可以量化吗?

Q1 Arts and Humanities Perspectives on Science Pub Date : 2022-01-18 DOI:10.1162/posc_a_00412
S. Hansson
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引用次数: 6

摘要

摘要为了探讨不确定度的可量化性和形式化,对不确定度进行了广泛的研究。它们被归纳为八个主要类别:事实的、可能性的、元对立的、代理的、互动的、价值的、结构的和语言的不确定性。这既包括经典的不确定性,也包括通常称为大的、深的或根本的不确定性。对于八种不确定性类型中的五种,定量和非定量形式化都是有意义和可用的。对于其中一种(交互不确定性),只有非定量的形式化似乎是有意义的,而对于两种(代理不确定性和结构不确定性),定量和非定量形式化似乎都不是有用的方法。
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Can Uncertainty Be Quantified?
Abstract In order to explore the quantifiability and formalizability of uncertainty a wide range of uncertainties are investigated. They are summarized under eight main categories: factual, possibilistic, metadoxastic, agential, interactive, value, structural, and linguistic uncertainty. This includes both classical uncertainty and the uncertainties commonly called great, deep, or radical. For five of the eight types of uncertainty, both quantitative and non-quantitative formalizations are meaningful and available. For one of them (interactive uncertainty), only non-quantitative formalizations seem to be meaningful, and for two (agential and structural uncertainty) neither quantitative nor non-quantitative formalization seems to be a useful approach.
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来源期刊
Perspectives on Science
Perspectives on Science Arts and Humanities-History and Philosophy of Science
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
48
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