“使曲线趋平”:Niterói市(巴西里约热内卢)为控制COVID-19采取的有效措施

F. R. Carvalho, Thalia Medeiros, G. M. C. Guimarães, Fábio Aguiar-Alves, A. A. Silva, J. R. Almeida
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摘要

在巴西,一些地方政府采取了一些措施,可能对COVID-19的控制产生了积极影响。目的报告巴西、里约热内卢州和Niterói市新冠肺炎病例分布情况。同时,我们旨在展示Niterói城市采取的预防策略。方法采用巴西卫生部和Niterói市卫生基金会提供的数据,报告新冠肺炎病例和死亡病例。为了进行一些分析,数据按周分组,并对10万居民进行标准化。结果截至2020年7月18日,巴西报告病例2,074,860例,死亡78,772例,里约热内卢州报告病例135,230例,死亡11,919例;两者的COVID-19死亡人数仍呈上升曲线。相比之下,Niterói市每10万居民的新死亡率一直较低。重要的是,我们估计Niterói市采取的措施避免了712人死亡,与里约热内卢的情况相比。结论Niterói市采取的早期预防措施在降低病毒传播和死亡率方面是有效的。在这方面,这一讨论可能有助于在巴西COVID-19疫情期间做出未来的决定。
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“Flattening the curve”: effective measures from Niterói city (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil) for COVID-19 control
Abstract Background In Brazil, some local city government’s adopted several measures, which probably had a positive impact on COVID-19 control. Objective To report the distribution of COVID-19 cases in Brazil, Rio de Janeiro state and Niterói city. In parallel, we aimed to demonstrate the preventive strategies adopted by Niterói city. Method Data provided by the Brazilian Ministry of Health and Municipal Health Foundation of Niterói were used to report COVID-19 cases and deaths. For some analysis, data were grouped by week and normalized for 100,000 inhabitants. Results By July 18th, 2020, Brazil reported 2,074,860 cases and 78,772 deaths and Rio de Janeiro state registered 135,230 cases and 11,919 deaths; both still presenting ascendant curves for COVID-19 deaths. In contrast, the rate of new deaths per 100,000 inhabitants is consistently lower in Niterói city. Importantly, we estimated that 712 deaths were prevented by the measures adopted by Niterói city, in comparison to which was observed in Rio de Janeiro. Conclusion The early preventive measures adopted in Niterói city were effective in reducing both the viral spread and rate of deaths. In this regard, this discussion could be relevant for making future decisions during the COVID-19 outbreak in Brazil.
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