大气阻塞对伊拉克天气事件的影响评价

D. Yousef, Jasim H. Kadhum
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摘要

近年来,由于大气阻塞对中纬度环流的影响,以及对寒流、热浪、干旱和暴雨等极端天气的影响,大气阻塞受到了很多关注。本文评估了大气阻塞对伊拉克天气事件的影响,特别是降雨。分析了2002年至2018年期间国家环境预测中心(NCEP)的每日气象数据,以确定伊拉克及其周边地区的不同大气阻塞系统。为了在地图上定位地块,根据平均海平面压力将研究区域从10-70°N和10-70°E扩展。本研究描述了2006年1月25日和2006年2月1日至3日发生的两例Omega阻塞系统。热带降雨测量任务(TRMM)观测到的降雨以及中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)探测到的真彩色云图被用来确定与大气阻塞系统相关的暴雨的严重程度和轨迹。NCEP提供的数据空间分辨率为2.5 × 2.5, TRMM为0.25 × 0.25。对典型年份(2016年)的分析表明,在本工作期间检测到的24个阻塞系统中,Omega区块占37.5%,Cut-off low区块占20.8%,Rex区块占16.7%,Cut-off high区块和Split flow区块各占12.5%。结果还表明,2006年2月1日至3日发生的欧米茄阻塞是最强的阻塞,造成了120 mm的降雨。
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Evaluation of Atmospheric Blocking Effects on Weather Events in Iraq
Atmospheric blocking has received a lot of attention in recent years due to its impacts on mid-latitude circulation and then on weather extremes such as cold spells, heat waves, drought, and heavy rain. In this paper, the effects of atmospheric blocking on weather events ''rainfall in particular'' over Iraq are evaluated. Daily meteorological data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) for the period 2002-2018 were analyzed to identify different atmospheric blocking systems over Iraq and surrounded regions. In order to locate the blocks on maps, the study domain is extended from 10-70o N and 10-70o E for mean sea level pressure. This study state two cases of Omega blocking system occurred on 25 Jan 2006 and 01-03 Feb 2006. Rainfall observed by the Tropical Rainfall Measurements Mission (TRMM) along with true color cloud images detected by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrora-diometer (MODIS) were employed for determining the severity and trajectory of rainstorms associated with atmospheric blocking systems. NCEP provides data with a spatial resolution of 2.5o × 2.5o while TRMM is 0.25o × 0.25o. Analysis of one typical year (2016) showed that among 24 blocking systems detected during the period of this work, 37.5% were Omega blocks, 20.8% were Cut-off low blocks, 16.7% were Rex blocks, and the percentage of the Cut-off high and Split flow blocks were 12.5% each. The results also indicated that the strongest blocking was the Omega blocking that occurred on 01-03 Feb 2006 and resulted in 120 mm rainfall.
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