Angstrom-Prescott和Hargreaves-Samani系数对西非气候强迫和太阳能光伏技术选择的影响

M. Agbor, S. Udo, Igwe O. Ewona, S. C. Nwokolo, J. Ogbulezie, S. Amadi, Utibe Billy
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们使用覆盖整个西非地区的广义数据集,评估并比较了模拟Angström-Prescott (AP)和Hargreaves-Samani (HS)模型在月和年时间尺度上的性能。拟合的AP模型得到的有效参数为a = 0.366和b = 0.459,而HS模型得到的基于年时间尺度的系数为0.216,与粮农组织(FAO)推荐的系数(a = 0.25和b = 0.5)和HS推荐的系数(0.17)相比,前者更适合该地区。采用FAO和HS推荐系数将引入18.388%和27.19%的相对百分比误差(RPE),而本研究获得的相对百分比误差分别为0.0014%和0.1036%。在没有地面测量数据集的情况下,考虑时间和资源的可用性,本研究获得的系数可用于预测该区域内的太阳总辐射。根据AP和HS系数,多晶组件(p-Si)比单晶组件(m-Si)更可靠,因为基于AP和HS系数评估,p-Si组件具有更高的本征特性,因此具有更高的耐高温倾向。
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Effects of Angstrom-Prescott and Hargreaves-Samani Coefficients on Climate Forcing and Solar PV Technology Selection in West Africa
We evaluated and compared the performance of simulated Angström-Prescott (AP) and Hargreaves-Samani (HS) models on monthly and annual timescales using generalized datasets covering the entire West African region. The fitted AP model yielded more efficient parameters of a = 0.366 and b = 0.459, whereas the HS model produced a 0.216 coefficient based on an annual timescale, which is more suitable in the region compared to coefficients recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (a = 0.25 and b = 0.5) and HS (0.17), respectively. Employing the FAO and HS recommended coefficients will introduce a relative percentage error (RPE) of 18.388% and 27.19% compared to the RPEs of 0.0014% and 0.1036% obtained in this study, respectively. When considering time and resource availability in the absence of ground-measured datasets, the coefficients obtained in this study can be used for predicting global solar radiation within the region. According to the AP and HS coefficients, the polycrystalline module (p-Si) is more reliable than the monocrystalline module (m-Si) because the p-Si module has a higher tendency to withstand the high temperatures projected to affect the region due to its higher intrinsic properties based on the AP and HS coefficients assessment in the region.
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