独立分量回归方法在多神经网络预测中的选择性组合

See Lee Foon, N. A. Rahim, A. Zainal, Zhang Jie
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摘要

生物过程在本质上是高度非线性的,很难用简单的数学模型来精确地表示。而利用神经网络可以解决这一问题。神经网络是一种突出的建模工具,特别是在涉及复杂过程如生物过程时。本文采用具有10个隐藏神经元的多个单隐藏层前馈人工神经网络(FANN)对反应性生物过程的输入(稀释率D)和输出(转化率y和无因次温度值?)之间的复杂动态关系进行建模。采用Levenberg-Marquardt反向传播训练方法。然后通过面积简单平均、主成分回归(PCR)和独立成分回归(ICR)三种不同的方法对多个神经网络的预测结果进行组合。采用自举方法构建的多个神经网络不仅提高了单个神经网络的性能,而且提高了非线性过程建模的鲁棒性。对三种方法进行了比较。结果表明,ICR在噪声1级、2级和3级上略优,而在噪声4级和5级上略差。这是由于独立分量回归使用了潜在因素和非高斯分布的y和?组合的值。化工研究通报19(2017)12-19
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Selective combination in multiple neural networks prediction using independent component regression approach
Biological processes are highly nonlinear in nature and difficult to represent accurately by simple mathematical models. However, this problem can be solved by using neural network. Neural network is a prominent modeling tool especially when it comes to intricate process such as biological process. In this paper, a multiple single hidden layer with ten hidden neurons Feedforward Artificial Neural Network (FANN) was used to model the complex and dynamic relationships between the input (dilution rate, D) and outputs (conversion, y and dimensionless temperature value, ?) for the reactive biological process. Levenberg-Marquardt Backpropagation training method was used. The multiple neural networks predicted outputs were then combined through three different methods which area simple averaging, Principal Component Regression (PCR) and Independent Component Regression (ICR). Multiple neural networks which were created by the bootstrap approach help improved single neural network performance as well as the model robustness for nonlinear process modeling. Comparison was made between the three methods. The result showed that ICR is slightly superior between the three methods especially in noise level 1,2 and 3, however ICR slightly suffer in noise level 4 and 5. This is due to the independent component regression used the latent factors and non-Gaussian distribution of y and ? values for the combination. Chemical Engineering Research Bulletin 19(2017) 12-19
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