多假设约束下多级供应链有效库存策略的强化学习方法

Ika Nurkasanah
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引用次数: 4

摘要

背景:库存政策高度影响供应链管理(SCM)过程。有证据表明,几乎一半的供应链管理成本是由与股票相关的费用抵消的。目的:本文旨在通过应用称为强化学习(RL)的基于多代理的机器学习来最小化SCM中的总库存成本。方法:在多种约束条件下运用强化学习方法发现库存策略的隐藏模式,而这些约束条件在以往的研究中没有同时或共同解决。这些包括有能力的制造商和仓库,对供应商的订单限制,随机需求,交货时间的不确定性和多源供应。RL通过Q-Learning进行了四次实验和1000次迭代,以检查其结果的一致性。然后,将RL与之前的数学方法进行对比,检验其降低库存成本的效率。结果:在1000次试错模拟之后,最引人注目的发现是,强化学习可以比数学方法更有效地执行,在正确的时间下最佳订单数量。此外,这一结果是在复杂的约束和假设下获得的,而这些约束和假设在以往的研究中没有同时进行模拟。结论:结果证实,RL方法在实施到本项目中表达的可比供应网络环境时将是非常宝贵的。由于强化学习在本研究中仍然存在较高的不足,因此建议将强化学习与其他机器学习算法相结合,以获得更强大的端到端SCM分析。关键词:库存政策,多梯队,强化学习,供应链管理,q -学习
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Reinforcement Learning Approach for Efficient Inventory Policy in Multi-Echelon Supply Chain Under Various Assumptions and Constraints
Background: Inventory policy highly influences Supply Chain Management (SCM) process. Evidence suggests that almost half of SCM costs are set off by stock-related expenses.Objective: This paper aims to minimise total inventory cost in SCM by applying a multi-agent-based machine learning called Reinforcement Learning (RL).Methods: The ability of RL in finding a hidden pattern of inventory policy is run under various constraints which have not been addressed together or simultaneously in previous research. These include capacitated manufacturer and warehouse, limitation of order to suppliers, stochastic demand, lead time uncertainty and multi-sourcing supply. RL was run through Q-Learning with four experiments and 1,000 iterations to examine its result consistency. Then, RL was contrasted to the previous mathematical method to check its efficiency in reducing inventory costs.Results: After 1,000 trial-error simulations, the most striking finding is that RL can perform more efficiently than the mathematical approach by placing optimum order quantities at the right time. In addition, this result was achieved under complex constraints and assumptions which have not been simultaneously simulated in previous studies.Conclusion: Results confirm that the RL approach will be invaluable when implemented to comparable supply network environments expressed in this project. Since RL still leads to higher shortages in this research, combining RL with other machine learning algorithms is suggested to have more robust end-to-end SCM analysis. Keywords: Inventory Policy, Multi-Echelon, Reinforcement Learning, Supply Chain Management, Q-Learning
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