网络武器会阻止战争吗?

Ishan Mukherjee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近网络武器破坏性的激增引发了一个问题:网络武器是否仅仅是一个国家武器库中最强大的武器之一?或者,它们会像核武器在当前世界秩序中的作用一样:作为国家间冲突的威慑力量吗?为了回答这个问题,本文首先明确了究竟是什么赋予了核武器威慑能力。产生了一份关于冲突威慑技术的三个必要标准的清单:极端破坏性,易于交付,以及对解除武装的第一次打击的恢复能力。由于网络武器符合这些标准,它们原则上可以威慑战争。最后,对网络威慑面临的挑战进行了评估,并为关注国际安全的政策制定者和慈善基金会提出了建议
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Will cyberweapons deter war?
The recent surge in the destructiveness of cyberweapons raises the question: will cyberweapons merely be among the most potent weapons in a country’s arsenal? Or, will they behave like nuclear weapons do in the present world order: as deterrents against interstate conflict? To answer this question, this paper first clarified exactly what gives nuclear weapons deterring ability. A list of three necessary criteria for conflict-deterring technology was generated: extreme destructiveness, ease of delivery, and resilience against a disarming first strike. Since cyberweapons fulfill these criteria, they can, in principle, deter war. Finally, the challenges to cyber deterrence were evaluated, along with recommendations for policymakers and charitable foundations concerned about international security
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