世界最大铜制品制造商竞争力的现代评价与预测前景

V. Krivorotov, A. Kalina, S. Erypalov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在全球经济空间转型的背景下,经济实体融入到各种关联和联盟中。考虑到这些大公司不断变化的内部和外部环境条件,这些过程使改进评估和预测这些大公司竞争力的方法具有重要意义。以前制定的方法需要进行一定的修订和适当的改进。这项研究的目的是改进方法工具和评价大型铜公司在现阶段和中期的竞争力。根据对评估和确保经济实体竞争力的方法的分析显示,目前这些方法中的绝大多数都没有考虑到竞争条件的变化以及反映这些变化的因素的日益增加的影响。本文提出了一种改进的、科学的、方法学的大公司竞争力评估与预测方法,主要包括四个方面:形成科学的、方法学的研究原则;开发公司竞争力多因素评估的方法工具;优化投资项目,促进公司发展;形成预测性战略,为公司的发展提供长期的竞争优势。作为方法的一部分,已经开发了一种对大公司的竞争力进行多因素评估的方法。它规定考虑其他因素及其优先次序,并对基本比较模式作重大修正。考虑到公司活动的具体情况,已经开发了一种基于场景的方法方法,利用经济和统计建模来预测大型公司的竞争力指标。在同一领域开展业务的大型全球公司的背景下,对乌拉尔矿业和冶金公司的方法发展进行了检验。2010-2020年期间对企业当前竞争力水平进行了评估;对截至2025年的竞争力指标进行了预测,从而能够从有关公司竞争力的角度评估大流行病后的发展趋势。根据研究结果,得出了概括性结论。
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Modern Assessment and Forecast Prospects of the Competitiveness of the World's Largest Manufacturers of Copper Products
In the context of the global transformation of the economic space, economic entities become integrated into various kinds of associations and alliances. These processes make it emphatically relevant to improve approaches to assessing and forecasting the competitiveness of such large companies, taking into account the changing conditions of their internal and external environment. Previously developed approaches required a certain revision and appropriate improvements. The purpose of the study is to improve methodological tools and assess the competitiveness of large copper companies at the present stage and in the medium term. Based on the analysis of approaches to assessing and ensuring the competitiveness of economic entities, it was revealed that today the vast majority of these approaches do not take into account the changing conditions of competition and the increased influence of factors reflecting these changes. The article proposes an improved scientific and methodological approach to assessing and forecasting the competitiveness of large companies, which includes four major blocks: the formation of scientific and methodological principles for conducting research; development of methodological tools for multifactorial assessment of the company's competitiveness; optimization of investment projects for the development of the company; formation of predictive strategies for the development of the company associated with the provision of long-term competitive advantages. As part of the approach - a method for multifactorial assessment of the competitiveness of large companies - has been developed. It provides for the consideration of additional factors and their priority, as well as a significant correction of the basic comparison model. A scenario-based methodological approach has been developed to predict the indicators of competitiveness of large companies using economic and statistical modeling, taking into account the specifics of the company's activities. Methodological developments were tested in relation to the Ural Mining and Metallurgical Company against the background of large global companies operating in the same field. The assessment of the level of current competitiveness of companies was carried out in the period 2010–2020; the forecast of competitiveness indicators was made for the period through to 2025, which made it possible to assess post-pandemic development trends from the standpoint of the competitiveness of the companies in question. Based on the results of the study, generalizing conclusions are formulated.
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