浅褐苹果蛾对杀虫剂抗性的决策分析

R. Hide, D. Suckling
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引用次数: 4

摘要

摘要浅褐色苹果蛾(Epiphyas postvittana)在新西兰一个主要园艺区的两个小区域对甲基硫磷产生了低水平抗性。目前尚不清楚耐药个体是孤立的种群还是更大种群的一部分。因此,尚不确定这种耐药性是否具有发展和传播的潜力。描述了代表可能情况范围的模型,并通过推断在每种可能情况下可能产生的后果来评估管理方案。结论是,继续使用有机磷杀虫剂有产生和传播耐药性的风险。最好的替代办法是在受影响的地区使用拟除虫菊酯,但这种选择并非没有成本。
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Decision analysis of insecticide resistance in light-brown apple moth
Abstract Light-brown apple moth (Epiphyas postvittana) has developed a low level of resistance to azinphos-methyl in two small areas of a major horticultural district in New Zealand. It is not known whether resistant individuals form isolated populations or are a part of a much larger population. Hence, it is uncertain whether this resistance has the potential to develop and spread. Models representing the range of possible situations are described and management options assessed by deducing the consequence they would have in each of the possible situations. It is concluded that the continued use of organophosphate insecticides incurs the risk of a development and spread of resistance. The best alternative is to use pyrethroids in the affected areas but such an option is not without its own costs.
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