适当计分规则的存在性和唯一性

E. Ovcharov
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引用次数: 5

摘要

为了讨论适当评分规则的存在唯一性,需要将相关熵函数作为次线性函数推广到预测集的二次壳上。在一些自然函数空间中,如在Rd上的Lebesgue lp空间中,正锥的内部是空的。在这样的锥上定义的熵函数只有方向导数,它通常存在于大的子空间上,并且行为类似于梯度。某些熵可以进一步连续扩展到包含有符号密度的赋范空间中的开锥。由于超平面定理的支持,扩展密度除在一个可忽略集上外都是格特奥可微的,并且处处具有连续的次梯度。我们从分析和代数中引入必要的框架,使我们能够对论文的名义问题给出肯定的答案。因此,我们给出了熵函数具有唯一关联的适当评分规则的形式意义。我们通过研究以下三个原型熵的导数和次梯度来说明我们的框架:Shannon熵、Hyvarinen熵和二次熵。
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Existence and uniqueness of proper scoring rules
To discuss the existence and uniqueness of proper scoring rules one needs to extend the associated entropy functions as sublinear functions to the conic hull of the prediction set. In some natural function spaces, such as the Lebesgue Lp-spaces over Rd, the positive cones have empty interior. Entropy functions defined on such cones have directional derivatives only, which typically exist on large subspaces and behave similarly to gradients. Certain entropies may be further extended continuously to open cones in normed spaces containing signed densities. The extended densities are Gâteaux differentiable except on a negligible set and have everywhere continuous subgradients due to the supporting hyperplane theorem. We introduce the necessary framework from analysis and algebra that allows us to give an affirmative answer to the titular question of the paper. As a result of this, we give a formal sense in which entropy functions have uniquely associated proper scoring rules. We illustrate our framework by studying the derivatives and subgradients of the following three prototypical entropies: Shannon entropy, Hyvarinen entropy, and quadratic entropy.
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