可入住房产更贵吗?

Arnab Dutta, Richard K. Green, Venkatesh Panchapagesan, Madalasa Venkataraman
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引用次数: 3

摘要

在发展中国家出售的住宅物业中,有很大一部分正在建设中。部分原因是建设时间过长。但由于施工延误和施工停滞的可能性,购买在建物业可能既昂贵又有风险。因此,房地产卖家会期望买家为已完工或可入住的房产支付高于在建房产的价格。延长的施工时间也会导致更高的转售价格。有风险偏好的买家可能会以较低的成本购买新的在建房产,然后在建筑完工或市场价格上涨时以更高的价格转售,或者两者兼而有之。在本文中,我们使用了印度六个最大城市群(班加罗尔、金奈、海得拉巴、加尔各答、孟买和德里)2010-2012年间的住宅物业清单数据,并估算了每个城市群中卖家对可入住房产的预期溢价。房地产属性的上市价格的享乐回归显示,在班加罗尔、加尔各答、孟买和德里,预期的入住准备溢价在统计上显着,其幅度在3-14%之间变化。按无条件的平均房价计算,在这些UAs,准备入住的溢价是平均家庭收入的23-150%。我们还发现,预期转售溢价显著,在三个ua中变化在2-16%之间。转售溢价的部分原因是转售物业的入住准备溢价较高,以及可能的投机行为。
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Are Move-in Ready Properties More Expensive?
A large share of residential properties on sale in developing countries is under construction. This is partly due to lengthy periods of construction. But purchasing under-construction properties can be costly and risky because of construction delays and the possibility of stalled construction. Hence, property sellers would expect buyers to pay higher prices for completed or move-in ready properties relative to under-construction ones. Prolonged construction times can also lead to higher resale prices. Buyers with an appetite for risk might purchase new under-construction properties at lower costs and resell these at higher prices, either when construction is complete, or when market prices increase, or both. In this paper, we use residential property listings data from the six largest urban agglomerations (UAs) in India - Bangalore, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, and Delhi - between 2010-2012 and estimate the sellers' expected premium for move-in ready properties in each UA. Hedonic regressions of listed prices on property attributes reveal that the expected move-in ready premium is statistically significant in Bangalore, Kolkata, Mumbai, and Delhi, and its magnitude varies between 3-14%. At unconditional average property prices, the move-in ready premium is 23-150% of an average household's income in these UAs. We also find that the expected resale premium is significant and varies between 2-16% in three UAs. The resale premium is partly explained by a higher move-in ready premium among resale properties and possible speculative behavior.
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