石油生产战略技术选择:技术吸引力-能力矩阵的应用

S. Mohammadzadeh, N. Mokhtarzadeh, M. Rasaei
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引用次数: 2

摘要

技术的快速发展,其复杂性和多样性的增加,加上有限的组织资源和在工业竞争中生存的努力,使适当的技术选择任务成为一项重大挑战。本研究的目的是在伊朗西部Karoon油田制定与石油生产有关的技术战略。首先,通过专家调研,认识到所研究油田的生产过程和面临的挑战。然后,采用配对比较问卷法和常模糊层次分析法对挑战的优先级进行了评估,并识别了所考虑领域的四个关键挑战。在接下来的步骤中,确定了四个公认的关键挑战中现有的和新的石油生产技术。针对每一项被认可的技术,根据乔利指数设计了吸引力评估和能力评估问卷,并在由生产工程专家组成的样本中分发。抽样采用非随机、目的性判断的方法。基于问卷调查的结果,采用Morin模型设计了吸引力-能力矩阵,并在得到的技术组合基础上,制定并讨论了四个领域的策略。
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Strategic Technologies Selection for Oil Production: An Application of Attractiveness-Capability Matrix of Technology
Rapid development of technologies, their increasing complexity and variety, together with limited organizational resources and efforts for survival in industrial competitions have made the task of appropriate technology selection a major challenge. The present research is aimed at the formulation of technology strategy related to oil production in one of the west Karoon oil fields in Iran. At the first, the processes and challenges of production in the studied oil field are recognized by the experts’ survey. Then, the priority of the challenges is evaluated and four key challenges of the considered field are recognized by using a paired comparison questionnaire and Chang Fuzzy AHP. In the next step, the existing and new technologies of oil production in the four recognized key challenges are determined. For each of the recognized technologies, the attractiveness assessment and capability assessment questionnaire are designed based on Jolly indexes and distribute in a sample composed of production engineering experts. Sampling is done by the non-random and purposive-judgmental method. Based on the results of the questionnaires, the attractiveness-capability matrix is designed by Morin’s model, and then based on the obtained technology portfolio, the strategies of each of the four areas are formulated and discussed.
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