通过分位数回归在妊娠24-40周对不同母体和胎儿血管的脉搏指数图进行建模:一项前瞻性横断面研究

G. Rizzo, M. Pietrolucci, I. Mappa, V. Bitsadze, J. Khizroeva, A. Makatsariya, F. D’Antonio
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The mean uterine, umbilical (UA), middle cerebral (MCA) and their ratio (cerebroplacental ratio, CPR) centile values were established by quantile regression in the considered gestational interval. Interclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of each maternal and fetal vessel was also computed to assess the intra- and inter-observer agreement of the results. Results There was a good intra- and inter-observer agreement for each of the explored vessels (ICC >0.92 and >0.91 for a single and two observers, respectively). The 5th, 10th, 50th, 90th and 95th centiles of the reference range for gestation were constructed by quantile regression and compared to previously established reference charts. All the Doppler indices significantly changed with gestation. Second-degree polynomial regression models better described the changes with gestation in PCR and MCA PI values while a linear model better predicted the changes of other Doppler indices with advancing gestation. 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引用次数: 14

摘要

摘要目的最近的证据表明,先前发表的报告母体和胎儿多普勒参考范围的研究方法存在相当大的异质性,这可能对临床实践具有相关意义。鉴于这些限制,提出了一种标准化的多普勒海图构造方法。本研究的目的是根据最近提出的标准化方法和使用分位数回归,建立母婴多普勒脉搏指数(PI)图表。方法前瞻性横断面研究纳入2516例24 ~ 40周低危单胎妊娠。在考虑的妊娠间隔内,通过分位数回归建立子宫、脐带(UA)、中脑(MCA)及其比值(脑胎盘比,CPR)的平均百分位值。还计算了每个母体和胎儿血管的类间相关系数(ICC),以评估结果在观察者内部和观察者之间的一致性。结果每艘被探测船只的观察者内部和观察者之间的一致性都很好(单个观察者和两个观察者的ICC分别>0.92和>0.91)。通过分位数回归构建妊娠参考范围的第5、第10、第50、第90和第95百分位,并与先前建立的参考图表进行比较。各多普勒指标随妊娠期变化明显。二次多项式回归模型较好地描述了PCR和MCA PI值随妊娠的变化,而线性模型较好地预测了其他多普勒指数随妊娠的变化。与其他报告母体和胎儿多普勒参考范围的研究相比,本图表显示了相似的中位数,但与中位数分布不同。结论基于先前提出的标准化方法和分位数回归,我们提供了母体和胎儿多普勒的前瞻性图表。与先前发表的研究相比,这些新图表显示了相似的中位数,但与中位数有不同的偏差,这可能有助于更好地区分胎盘功能不全和不良围产期结局高风险的病例。
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Modeling Pulsatility Index nomograms from different maternal and fetal vessels by quantile regression at 24–40 weeks of gestation: a prospective cross-sectional study
Abstract Objective Recent evidences highlight a considerable heterogeneity in the methodology of previously published studies reporting reference ranges for maternal and fetal Dopplers, which may have relevant implications in clinical practice. In view of these limitations, a standardized methodology to construct Doppler charts has been proposed. The aim of this study was to develop charts for pulsatility index (PI) of maternal and fetal Dopplers based upon the recently proposed standardized methodology and using quantile regression. Methods Prospective cross-sectional study including 2516 low-risk singleton pregnancies between 24 and 40 weeks of gestation. The mean uterine, umbilical (UA), middle cerebral (MCA) and their ratio (cerebroplacental ratio, CPR) centile values were established by quantile regression in the considered gestational interval. Interclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of each maternal and fetal vessel was also computed to assess the intra- and inter-observer agreement of the results. Results There was a good intra- and inter-observer agreement for each of the explored vessels (ICC >0.92 and >0.91 for a single and two observers, respectively). The 5th, 10th, 50th, 90th and 95th centiles of the reference range for gestation were constructed by quantile regression and compared to previously established reference charts. All the Doppler indices significantly changed with gestation. Second-degree polynomial regression models better described the changes with gestation in PCR and MCA PI values while a linear model better predicted the changes of other Doppler indices with advancing gestation. When compared to other studies reporting reference ranges for maternal and fetal Dopplers, the present charts showed similar median values but different distribution from the median. Conclusions We provided prospective charts of maternal and fetal Dopplers based upon a previously proposed standardized methodology and using quantile regression. When compared to previously published studies, these new charts showed similar median values but different deviations from the median which may help in better differentiating cases at higher risk of placental insufficiency and adverse perinatal outcome.
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