配水网络需水量标度规律及自相似特性

M. Moretti, R. Guercio, R. Magini
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引用次数: 0

摘要

配水网络的设计通常考虑节点需水量的确定性值,通过将平均需水量乘以适当的需求系数来计算,该系数对所有节点都是相同的。显然,需求因素的变化会产生不同但完全相关的需求情景。如今,高频水消耗监测的大量可用性允许用统计术语描述水需求。传统的确定性方法以节点需求之间的完美相关性为特征,导致每个节点的水力头与进入网络的总流量之间存在分析依赖关系。另一方面,如果我们考虑节点需求是由边际概率分布描述的,彼此之间的相关性不同,这个结果仍然有效,但仅适用于平均值。在这项工作中,通过分层随机抽样(拉丁超立方体抽样)生成了几个场景。节点需水量用Gamma概率分布来描述,该概率分布的参数根据合适的比例规律与用户的类型和数量相关。结果考虑了不同类型的用户和不同的网络拓扑结构,并强调了基于网络的直接无环图(DAG)评估节点水头与总进入流量的平均函数的可能性。此外,数据在均值函数周围的分散程度取决于网络的性质:维度和拓扑结构。
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WATER DEMAND SCALING LAWS AND SELF-SIMILARITY PROPERTIES OF WATER DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS
The design of water distribution networks (WDNs) usually considers deterministic values of nodal water demand, calculated by multiplying the average water demand by an appropriate demand factor, which is the same for all nodes. Obviously, changes in the demand factor produce different, yet perfectly correlated, demand scenarios. Today’s large availability of high-frequency water consumption monitoring allows describing water demand in statistical terms. The traditional deterministic approach, characterized by a perfect correlation between nodal demands, leads to an analytical dependency between the hydraulic heads in each of the nodes and the total flow entering the network. On the other hand, if we consider that the nodal demand is described by marginal probability distributions, differently correlated with each other, this result is still valid, but only for the mean. In this work, several scenarios have been generated through stratified random sampling (Latin hypercube sampling). The nodal water demand is described by Gamma probability distributions whose parameters are related to the type and number of users according to suitable scaling laws, derived from historical data sets. The results were obtained considering different types of users and different network topologies and highlighted the possibility of evaluating the mean function of the nodal hydraulic head vs the total entering flow based on the direct acyclic graph (DAG) of the network. Moreover, the dispersion of the data around the mean function was found to be dependent on the properties of the network: dimension and topological structure.
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