加拿大与COVID-19相关的人员生命损失的美元价值

J. Kirigia, Rose Nabi Deborah Karimi Muthuri
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引用次数: 7

摘要

背景:2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行继续导致加拿大的发病率和过早死亡,并破坏了社会经济部门。目的:本研究旨在评估加拿大与COVID-19相关的人类生命损失总额(TDVHL)。方法:采用净产出法对截至2020年7月16日加拿大与COVID-19相关的8810人的生命损失进行美元估值。经济模型假设3%、5%和10%的折现率,加拿大的预期寿命为83岁,世界平均预期寿命为73岁,世界最高平均预期寿命为88岁,折现率为3%。结果:2019冠状病毒病死亡估计数为2037021173国际美元(Int$),平均每人死亡231217国际美元。仅魁北克省和安大略省就占了TDVHL的94.99%。重新分析贴现率为5%和10%的经济模型,TDVHL分别下降了192721390 Int$(9%)和530132423 Int$(26%)。以世界平均预期寿命代替国家,使TDVHL减少了1754972473美元(86%),而采用世界最高预期寿命则使TDVHL增加了498674987美元(24%)。
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The Dollar Value of Human Life Losses Associated With COVID-19 in Canada
Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to cause morbidity and premature mortality and ravage the socio-economic sectors in Canada.Objectives: The study aimed to appraise the Total Dollar Value of Human Life Losses (TDVHL) associated with COVID-19 in Canada. Methods: The net output approach was applied in the dollar valuation of the 8810 human life losses associated with COVID-19 in Canada as of July 16, 2020. The economic model wasrerun assuming 3%, 5%, and 10% discount rates with Canada’s life expectancy of 83 years, the world’s average life expectancy of 73 years, the world’s highest average life expectancy of88 years, and a 3% discount rate. Results: The human lives lost to COVID-19 had an estimated value of the international dollar (Int$) 2037021173 and an average of Int$ 231217 per human life lost. Quebec and Ontarioprovinces alone accounted for 94.99% of the TDVHL. Reanalysis of the economic model with discount rates of 5% and 10% resulted in declines in TDVHL of Int$ 192721390 (9%)and Int$ 530132423 (26%), respectively. Substitution of the nation with the word’s average life expectancy shrank the TDVHL by Int$ 1754972473 (86%) while applying the world’shighest life expectancy triggered a growth in the TDVHL of Int$ 498674987 (24%).
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