多级降维的信用评分模型和预测:希腊的经验证据

P. Giannouli, A. Karagrigoriou, Christos E. Kountzakis, Kimon Ntotsis
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引用次数: 1

摘要

随着时间的推移,基于信用评分的特征、不同分类算法的有效性以及对信用评分分类算法的基准研究,关于信用评分的建模和预测已经做了一些工作。这项工作的目标是提出一种创新的方法来灵活和准确的信用评分建模,不仅使用金融,而且使用信用行为特征。此外,我们提出了一种多维约简算法,以揭示统计上显着的变量,并作为扩展,基于主成分分析和正则化方法的有效结合,创建可靠的信用评分预测模型。拟议的新程序分别适用于希腊系统,适用于小型和大型企业,并使用信用局的一个数据库,其中有20多万个案例。
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Multilevel Dimension Reduction for Credit Scoring Modelling and Prediction: Empirical Evidence for Greece
Abstract Several works concerning the modelling and the prediction of credit scoring have been made over time, based on features used in credit scoring, the effectiveness of different classification algorithms and also benchmarking studies classification algorithms for credit scoring. The objective of this work is the proposal of an innovative approach to flexible and accurate credit scoring modelling with the use of not only financial but also credit behavioural characteristics. In addition, we propose a multidimensional reduction algorithm in order to divulge the statistically significant variables that prevail and as an extension to create a reliable prediction model for credit scoring based on the effective combination of principal components analysis and regularization methods. The proposed novel procedure is applied to the Greek System separately for small and large enterprises with the use of a Credit Bureau database with more than 200,000 cases.
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