规划拉丁美洲和加勒比大流行后的可持续复苏

Juan G. Ayala
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引用次数: 4

摘要

2020年,拉丁美洲和加勒比地区将经历几十年来最严重的经济衰退。本文着眼于拉丁美洲和加勒比地区面临的挑战,并提出了一系列行动,以构建一个恢复计划,最大限度地减少潜在的道德风险影响,同时协调财政、社会和环境可持续性优先事项。大流行前的高主权债务水平、不断恶化的信用评级以及低税收限制了克服当前卫生和经济危机所急需的财政空间。该地区大多数国家有可能失去20年来在消除贫困和不平等方面取得的进展,而它们的中高收入地位使它们没有资格获得发达经济体的债务减免和援助计划。把重点放在解决当前危机上,也可能推迟在减缓和适应气候变化努力方面急需取得的进展,以及联合国可持续发展目标(可持续发展目标)的总体改进。
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Planning a Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery in Latin America and the Caribbean
In 2020, Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) will experience the most severe economic recession in decades. This paper looks at the challenges confronted by LAC and proposes a series of actions to structure a recovery plan that minimizes potential moral hazard effects while aligning fiscal, social, and environmental sustainability priorities. High pre-pandemic sovereign debt levels, worsening credit ratings, and low tax revenues limit the much-needed fiscal space to overcome the present health and economic crises. Most countries in the region are at risk of losing two decades of progress in the fight against poverty and inequality, while their upper-middle income status makes them ineligible for debt relief and aid packages from advanced economies. The focus on solving the current crisis may also delay much-needed progress on climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts, as well as overall improvements in the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDG).
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