嵌套抽样方法

IF 11 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Statistics Surveys Pub Date : 2021-01-24 DOI:10.1214/23-SS144
J. Buchner
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引用次数: 33

摘要

嵌套抽样(NS)计算参数后验分布,使贝叶斯模型比较在计算上可行。它的优点是对复杂的、潜在的多模式后验进行无监督导航,直到一个明确定义的终止点。对嵌套采样算法和变量进行了系统的文献综述。我们专注于完整的算法,包括解决似然限制的先验采样,并行化,终止和诊断。研究了两种完整算法的活点数、维数和计算量之间的关系。提出了一种新的NS公式,将参数空间探索转换为对树状数据结构的搜索。以前发表的获得鲁棒误差估计和活点数量动态变化的方法作为该公式的特殊情况提出。提出了一种基于先前插入秩序工作的在线诊断测试方法。对嵌套抽样方法的调查总结了对未来研究的展望。
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Nested sampling methods
Nested sampling (NS) computes parameter posterior distributions and makes Bayesian model comparison computationally feasible. Its strengths are the unsupervised navigation of complex, potentially multi-modal posteriors until a well-defined termination point. A systematic literature review of nested sampling algorithms and variants is presented. We focus on complete algorithms, including solutions to likelihood-restricted prior sampling, parallelisation, termination and diagnostics. The relation between number of live points, dimensionality and computational cost is studied for two complete algorithms. A new formulation of NS is presented, which casts the parameter space exploration as a search on a tree data structure. Previously published ways of obtaining robust error estimates and dynamic variations of the number of live points are presented as special cases of this formulation. A new online diagnostic test is presented based on previous insertion rank order work. The survey of nested sampling methods concludes with outlooks for future research.
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来源期刊
Statistics Surveys
Statistics Surveys STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
11.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
5
期刊介绍: Statistics Surveys publishes survey articles in theoretical, computational, and applied statistics. The style of articles may range from reviews of recent research to graduate textbook exposition. Articles may be broad or narrow in scope. The essential requirements are a well specified topic and target audience, together with clear exposition. Statistics Surveys is sponsored by the American Statistical Association, the Bernoulli Society, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and by the Statistical Society of Canada.
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