亲近你的朋友,更亲近你的敌人——货币政策和金融失衡的例子

IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS German Economic Review Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI:10.1515/ger-2020-0045
Małgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska, Łukasz Kurowski
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要全球金融危机表明,以稳定物价水平为重点的货币政策可能会对金融体系的稳定产生负面影响。因此,以利率为主要工具实现物价和金融稳定是困难的。在本文中,我们分析了从1999年第一季度到2020年第二季度,货币政策加剧20个国家金融体系失衡的频率。为此,我们将货币政策立场与一种新的金融失衡指数(FII)进行比较。我们发现,货币政策是加剧欧元区国家金融失衡的主要原因。我们将这一发现归因于欧洲央行“太宽松、太长”的货币政策,以及在不同经济状况、信贷和金融周期不同阶段的国家实施单一货币政策的困难。我们的研究结果表明,在低利率环境下,需要采取积极的宏观审慎政策。
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Keep your friends close and your enemies closer – the case of monetary policy and financial imbalances
Abstract The global financial crisis (GFC) has shown that monetary policy focused on a stable price level may negatively affect the stability of the financial system. Therefore, achieving price and financial stability using interest rates as the main tool is difficult. In this paper, we analyse how often monetary policy strengthened imbalances in the financial system in 20 countries from 1999Q1 to 2020Q2. To this end, we compare monetary policy stance with a novel financial imbalance index (FII). We find that monetary policy is material in aggravating financial imbalances mostly in Eurozone countries. We attribute this finding to the ECB’s “too loose, too long” monetary policy and to difficulties with applying single monetary policies in countries with different economic conditions and in different phases of credit and financial cycles. Our results point to a need for a proactive macroprudential policy in the environment of low interest rates.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
9.10%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: German Economic Review, the official publication of the German Economic Association (Verein für Socialpolitik), is an international journal publishing original and rigorous research of general interest in a broad range of economic disciplines, including: - macro- and microeconomics - economic policy - international economics - public economics - finance - business administration The scope of research approaches includes theoretical, empirical and experimental work. Innovative and thought-provoking contributions, in particular from younger authors, are especially welcome.
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