建设性参与南非事务:一项可行的美国政策

J. Seiler
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引用次数: 1

摘要

里根新政府必须迅速考虑其对南部非洲的政策。纳米比亚谈判仍未解决,由于这一潜在的危机,一场涉及主要国际大国的无法控制的区域战争的前景有所增加。对地区政策的任何审查都必须对美国在南非的利益和对南非的政策进行清醒的评估。作为一个国家,我们是否真的关心在这个麻烦的、复杂的社会中进一步进行建设性的变革,或者我们在过去二十年中对南非国内政策的抗议基本上是反身性的和修辞性的,目的是针对联合国和国内选民,并减轻我们对自己社会缺陷的负罪感?如果这种担忧是真实的,那么一系列事件的结合——自1974年葡萄牙政变以来南部非洲的迅速变化,1978年9月南非P.W.博塔政府上台以来对变革的初步但实质性的承诺,职业卡特政府官员默认1977年头几个月开始的方法已经失败,里根的大胜,参议院共和党的多数,民主党控制的众议院出现了保守的转变——这给了我们一个短暂的机会,可以启动一项旨在促进南非和平变革的政策:一项建设性接触的政策。
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Constructive Engagement in South Africa: A Viable U.S. Policy
.he new Reagan administration must promptly consider its policy toward southern Africa. The Namibian negotiations remain unsettled, and because of that potential crisis the prospects for an uncontrollable regional war involving major international powers have grown. Underlying any review ofregional policy must be a clearheaded assessment of U.S. interests in and policy toward South Africa itself. Are we as a nation genuinely concerned about furthering constructive changes in that troubled, complex society, or have our protestations over South African domestic policies during the past two decades been essentially reflexive and rhetorical, aimed at UN and domestic constituencies and at easing guilt about our own social shortcomings? If the concern is genuine, then a conjunction of events—rapid changes in southern Africa since the 1974 Portuguese coup, the tentative but substantial commitment to change made by the P.W. Botha government in South Africa since it took office in September 1978, the tacit acknowledgment by career Carter administration officials that the approach initiated in the first months of 1977 had failed, the massive Reagan victory, the Senate's Republican majority, and a conservative shift in the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives—gives us a momentary opportunity to launch a redirected policy intended to boost peaceful change in South Africa: a policy of constructive engagement.
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