HEDGING INFLATION AND INCOME RISKS

This paper describes markets for long-term inflation risk and shows the relationship such markets would have to other potential new markets, markets for long-term claims on income aggregates. The paper presents advantages of indexed long-term bonds and advocates as well the establishment of markets for long-term futures in a consumer price index. The potential use for such long-term inflation risk markets is put into perspective here by comparing the long-term risks to the real value of nominal claims to the long-term risks to national products and dividend incomes using data on fifty-four countries for 1950-90. Copyright 1995 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester