GRACE卫星任务解决现代水文问题的最先进潜力

Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.21638/SPBU07.2021.107
N. Frolova, V. Y. Grigorev, I. Krylenko, E. Zakharova
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文介绍了GRACE任务在流域储水量和水平衡分量估算、水文模拟等研究领域的主要成果。结果表明,在流域面积约10万km2时,GRACE数据的误差约为11 mm,随流域面积的增加而减小。这种准确性使得确定长期和季节性储水成为可能。结果表明,2002-2019年顿河流域总储水量的减少是由土壤湿度和地下水变化引起的。与此同时,地下水在2010年已经达到最低,土壤湿度在2015年已经达到最低。自2016年以来,唐盆地地下水在冬季期间发生了一些变化,这可能是由于在此期间解冻次数增加和冻结层变薄。利用俄罗斯欧洲部分地区气象站的寒期降水资料,估计其系统误差值约为20 ~ 25%。GRACE数据与ECOMAG径流模拟结果对俄罗斯欧洲部分北部流域的总储水量进行了比较,结果表明二者吻合较好(NSE =0.78 0.89)。与GRACE相比,ECOMAG在冬季的储水量增加较小,而在春季汛期的储水量下降较快。目前,GRACE在水文领域的应用进展受到数据时空分辨率低的限制,在GRACE任务本身的框架内,这在未来几年不会得到改善。同时,GRACE的工作原理可以在未来应用于各种卫星星座。
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State-of-the-art potential of the GRACE satellite mission for solving modern hydrological problems
The paper presents main results of GRACE mission using in such fields of study as estimations of components of basins water storage and water balance, hydrological modeling. It is shown that error of GRACE data is of the order 11 mm for watersheds with area about 100 000 km2 and decreasing with increasing of basin area. This accuracy made it possible to identify long-term and seasonal water storage. It is shown, that decreasing of total water storage in the Don basin for 2002–2019 is approximately equally caused by both soil moisture and groundwater changes. At the same time, minimum of groundwater was already reached in 2010, and soil moisture in 2015. Since 2016, Don basin groundwater changes a little during the winter period that is due, probably, with increase number of thaws and thinning of the freezing layer during this period. By the data of meteorological stations for the precipitation of cold period for the European Russia the value of their systematic error was estimated, it is about 20-25%. The comparison of the values of total water storage for the river basins of the north part of European part of Russia, according GRACE data and ECOMAG runoff modeling results has shown their good coincidence (NSE =0.78 0.89). In comparison with GRACE, ECOMAG shows a smaller increase in water storage during the winter and a faster decline during spring flood period. Currently, progress in the use of GRACE in hydrology is limited by low spatial-temporal resolution of data, which, within the framework of the GRACE mission itself, will not be improved in the coming years. At the same time, the principle of GRACE operation can be applied in future to various satellite constellations.
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