基于网络的分析,评估 COVID-19 在波哥大快速公交系统中的中断情况。

IF 5.9 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE American Political Science Review Pub Date : 2023-05-01 Epub Date: 2023-01-11 DOI:10.1177/23998083221150646
Juan D Garcia-Arteaga, Laura Lotero
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球 COVID-19 危机严重影响了全球南部城市的公共交通。对公共场所广泛传播的恐惧以及因封锁而导致的人员流动性急剧下降,导致公共交通选择大幅减少。我们分析了波哥大 TransMilenio 的案例,这是一个庞大的快速公交系统,是拥有约 1000 万居民的城市地区的主要交通方式。在封锁期间的很长一段时间内,由于对社会疏远的担忧和新的卫生法规,出行次数减少到历史值的 20% 以下。这重新激发了人们对开发创新数据驱动的 COVID-19 应对措施的兴趣,导致 TransMilenio 的大型数据集向公众开放。在本文中,我们使用了一个每日更新的数据库,其中包含单个乘客刷卡验证的微观数据,包括进入时间、进入车站和卡的 ID 哈希值。要从海量原始数据(每日记录达 1,000,000 条)中获取有用的见解,需要开发定制的数据分析方法。我们的目标是利用网络提供的城市流动性的自然表征,对日常通勤模式进行成对的定量相似性测量,然后利用聚类技术揭示不同流行病阶段的行为干扰以及受影响最严重的地理区域。事实证明,这种方法在分析大量数据时非常有效,今后可用于对城市环境中类似的大量数据集进行时间分析。
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A network-based analysis to assess COVID-19 disruptions in the Bogotá BRT system.

The global COVID-19 crisis has severely affected mass transit in the cities of the global south. Fear of widespread propagation in public spaces and the dramatic decrease in human mobility due to lockdowns have resulted in a significant reduction of public transport options. We analyze the case of TransMilenio in Bogotá, a massive Bus Rapid Transit system that is the main mode of transport for an urban area of roughly 10 million inhabitants. Concerns over social distancing and new health regulations reduced the number of trips to under 20% of its historical values during extended periods of time during the lockdowns. This has sparked a renewed interest in developing innovative data-driven responses to COVID-19 resulting in large corpora of TransMilenio data being made available to the public. In this paper we use a database updated daily with individual passenger card swipe validation microdata including entry time, entry station, and a hash of the card's ID. The opportunity of having daily detailed minute-to-minute ridership information and the challenge of extracting useful insights from the massive amount of raw data (∼1,000,000 daily records) require the development of tailored data analysis approaches. Our objective is to use the natural representation of urban mobility offered by networks to make pairwise quantitative similarity measurements between daily commuting patterns and then use clustering techniques to reveal behavioral disruptions as well as the most affected geographical areas due to the different pandemic stages. This method proved to be efficient for the analysis of large amount of data and may be used in the future to make temporal analysis of similarly large datasets in urban contexts.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
5.90%
发文量
119
期刊介绍: American Political Science Review is political science''s premier scholarly research journal, providing peer-reviewed articles and review essays from subfields throughout the discipline. Areas covered include political theory, American politics, public policy, public administration, comparative politics, and international relations. APSR has published continuously since 1906. American Political Science Review is sold ONLY as part of a joint subscription with Perspectives on Politics and PS: Political Science & Politics.
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