研究利用机器学习模型预测水平管道多相流的压力梯度和流型

Isemin. A. Isemin, King-Akanimo B. Nkundu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在多相流动过程中,由于管道内相的物性分布会发生变化,导致不同的流型,从而导致压力梯度随流型的变化,因此流动参数在多相流流型和压力梯度的预测中至关重要。分析解和经验关系式分别用于预测流态和压力梯度。然而,在本研究中,我们试图使用监督机器学习来进行预测,将相对相体积、总体流体流速、单个相流速、管道直径、倾角、相密度和温度等参数作为模型的输入。代表这些参数的数据可以定期更新,以反映井中的流动状况。流体由不同温度的水、油和空气组成。使用的机器学习模型是逻辑回归、决策树和主成分分析。前两种方法是有监督的,并根据压力表读数调整精度,而第三种方法旨在确定对预测输出、流态和压力梯度影响最大的参数。该模型仅限于学习和预测通过油管的流体产量。经过训练的模型显示出在行业中的应用前景,因为它允许用于控制流量的系统自动化,并提供更全面的方法来减轻管道系统和油田流动系统中的流量问题。
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Investigating the Use of Machine Learning Models for the Prediction of Pressure Gradient and Flow Regimes in Multiphase Flow in Horizontal Pipes
During multiphase flow, there is a variation of the physical distribution of the phases within the conduit leading to different flow regimes and consequently variation in the pressure gradient along with the flow regime, hence flow parameter is of vital importance in the prediction of flow regime and pressure gradient in multiphase flow. Analytical solutions and empirical correlations have been developed to predict the flow regime and the pressure gradient respectively. However, in this study, we seek to use supervised machine learning to make predictions taking parameters such as relative phase volume, bulk fluid flow rates, individual phase flow rates, conduit diameters, inclination, phase densities and temperature as input to the model. The data representing these parameters can be regularly updated to reflect the flow conditions in the well. The flow is composed of water, oil and air at different temperatures. The machine learning models used are Logistic Regression, Decision Trees and Principal Component Analysis. The first two is supervised and are tuned for accuracy dependent on pressure gauge readings while the third seeks to determine the parameters of greatest influence on the predicted output, the flow regime and pressure gradient. The model is constrained to learning and making predictions for fluid production through the tubing only. The trained model shows promise for application in the industry as it allows for automation of systems used to control flow and affords a more comprehensive approach to mitigating flow problems in pipeline systems and flow systems in oilfields.
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