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Optimisation of Offshore Structures Decommissioning – Cost Considerations 海上设施退役的优化-成本考虑
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207206-ms
Emmanuel T. Eke, I. Iyalla, J. Andrawus, R. Prabhu
The petroleum industry is currently being faced with a growing number of ageing offshore platforms that are no longer in use and require to be decommissioned. Offshore decommissioning is a complex venture, and such projects are expected to cost the industry billions of dollars in the next two decades. Early knowledge of decommissioning cost is important to platform owners who bear the asset retirement obligation. However, obtaining the cost estimate for decommissioning an offshore platform is a challenging task that requires extensive structural and economic studies. This is further complicated by the existence of several decommissioning options such as complete and partial removal. In this paper, project costs for decommissioning 23 offshore platforms under three different scenarios are estimated using information from a publicly available source which only specified the costs of completely removing the platforms. A novel mathematical model for predicting the decommissioning cost for a platform based on its features is developed. The development included curve-fitting with the aid of generalised reduced gradient tool in Excel® Solver and a training dataset. The developed model predicted, with a very high degree of accuracy, platform decommissioning costs for four (4) different options under the Pacific Outer Continental Shelf conditions. Model performance was evaluated by calculating the Mean Absolute Percentage Error of predictions using a test dataset. This yielded a value of about 6%, implying a 94% chance of correctly predicting decommissioning cost.
石油行业目前正面临着越来越多的老化海上平台,这些平台不再使用,需要退役。海上退役是一项复杂的冒险,预计在未来20年,这类项目将使该行业损失数十亿美元。对于承担资产退役义务的平台所有者来说,尽早了解退役成本非常重要。然而,获得海上平台退役的成本估算是一项具有挑战性的任务,需要进行广泛的结构和经济研究。由于存在一些退役选择,如完全或部分拆除,情况进一步复杂化。本文利用公开信息估算了三种不同情景下23个海上平台的退役项目成本,这些信息仅指定了完全拆除平台的成本。提出了一种基于平台特点的退役成本预测数学模型。该开发包括借助Excel®Solver中的广义降阶工具和训练数据集进行曲线拟合。所开发的模型以非常高的精度预测了太平洋外大陆架条件下四种不同选择的平台退役成本。通过使用测试数据集计算预测的平均绝对百分比误差来评估模型性能。该方法的预测值约为6%,这意味着正确预测退役成本的概率为94%。
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引用次数: 0
Conceptual Field Development Plan for X Field X油田概念性油田开发计划
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207146-ms
K. Ibrahim, P. Nzerem, Ayuba Salihu, I. Okafor, Oluwaseun Alonge, O. Ogolo
The development plan of the new oil field discovered in a remote offshore environment, Niger Delta, Nigeria was evaluated. As the oil in place is uncertain, a probabilistic approach was used to estimate the STOOIP using the low, mid, and high cases. The STOOIP for these cases were 95 MMSTB, 145 MMSTB and 300 MMSTB which are the potential amount of oil in the reservoir. Rock and fluid properties were determined using PVT sample and then matched to the Standing correlations with an RMS of 4.93%. The performance of the different well models were analyzed, and sensitivities were run to provide detailed information to reduce the uncertainties of the parameters. Furthermore, production forecast was done for the field for the different STOOIP using the predicted number of producer and injector wells. The timing of the wells was accurately allocated to provide information for the drillers to work on the wells. From the production forecast, the different STOOIP cases had a water cut ranging from 68-73% at the end of the 15-year field life. The recoverable oil estimate was accounted for 33.25 MMSTB for 95 MMSTB (low), 55.1 MMSTB for 145 MMSTB (mid) and 135 MMSTB for 300 MMSTB (high) at 35%, 38% and 45% recovery factor. Based on the proposed development plan, the base model is recommended for further implementation as the recovery factor is 38% with an estimate of 55.1 MMSTB. The platform will have 6 producers and 2 injectors. The quantity of oil produced is estimated at 15000 stbo/day which will require a separator that has the capacity of hold a liquid rate of about 20000 stb/day. The developmental wells are subsequently increased to achieve a water cut of 90-95% with more recoverable oil within the 15-year field life. This developmental plan is also cost effective as drilling more wells means more capital expenditure.
对尼日利亚尼日尔三角洲偏远海域新发现油田的开发规划进行了评价。由于石油储量是不确定的,因此采用概率方法通过低、中、高三种情况来估计STOOIP。这三种情况下的STOOIP分别为9500万桶、145万桶和300万桶,这是储层的潜在产油量。利用PVT样品确定岩石和流体性质,然后与Standing相关性进行匹配,RMS为4.93%。分析了不同井模型的性能,并进行了灵敏度计算,以提供详细的信息,以减少参数的不确定性。此外,利用预测的生产井和注入井数量,对不同的STOOIP进行了产量预测。该系统精确地分配了钻井时间,为钻井人员提供了作业信息。根据产量预测,在15年的油田寿命结束时,不同的STOOIP案例的含水率在68-73%之间。在35%、38%和45%的采收率下,9500万桶(低)为3325万桶,14500万桶(中)为5510万桶,300万桶(高)为1335万桶。根据拟议的开发计划,建议进一步实施基本模型,因为采收率为38%,估计为55.1 MMSTB。该平台将有6个生产者和2个注入器。产量估计为15000桶/天,这将需要一个能够容纳约20000桶/天液体量的分离器。随后,开发井数量增加,在15年的油田寿命内达到90-95%的含水率和更高的可采收率。这种开发计划也具有成本效益,因为钻更多的井意味着更多的资本支出。
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引用次数: 0
Application of Machine Learniing For Reservoir Facies Classification in Port Field, Offshore Niger Delta 机器学习在尼日尔三角洲港口油田储层相分类中的应用
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207163-ms
J. Asedegbega, Oladayo Ayinde, A. Nwakanma
Several computer-aided techniques have been developed in recent past to improve interpretational accuracy of subsurface geology. This paradigm shift has provided tremendous success in variety of Machine Learning Application domains and help for better feasibility study in reservoir evaluation using multiple classification techniques. Facies classification is an essential subsurface exploration task as sedimentary facies reflect associated physical, chemical, and biological conditions that formation unit experienced during sedimentation activity. This study however, employed formation samples for facies classification using Machine Learning (ML) techniques and classified different facies from well logs in seven (7) wells of the PORT Field, Offshore Niger Delta. Six wells were concatenated during data preparation and trained using supervised ML algorithms before validating the models by blind testing on one well log to predict discrete facies groups. The analysis started with data preparation and examination where various features of the available well data were conditioned. For the model building and performance, support vector machine, random forest, decision tree, extra tree, neural network (multilayer preceptor), k-nearest neighbor and logistic regression model were built after dividing the data sets into training, test, and blind test well data. Results of metric score for the blind test well estimated for the various models using Jaccard index and F1-score indicated 0.73 and 0.82 for support vector machine, 0.38 and 0.54 for random forest, 0.78 and 0.83 for extra tree, 0.91 and 0.95 for k-nearest neighbor, 0.41 and 0.56 for decision tree, 0.63 and 0.74 for logistic regression, 0.55 and 0.68 for neural network, respectively. The efficiency of ML techniques for enhancing the prediction accuracy and decreasing the procedure time and their approach toward the data, makes it importantly desirable to recommend them in subsurface facies classification analysis.
近年来发展了几种计算机辅助技术,以提高地下地质的解释精度。这种模式的转变在各种机器学习应用领域取得了巨大的成功,并有助于使用多种分类技术进行储层评价的可行性研究。相分类是一项重要的地下勘探任务,因为沉积相反映了地层单元在沉积活动期间所经历的相关物理、化学和生物条件。然而,该研究使用机器学习(ML)技术对地层样本进行相分类,并从尼日尔三角洲PORT油田的7口井的测井资料中对不同的相进行了分类。在数据准备过程中,将6口井连接起来,并使用监督ML算法进行训练,然后通过对一口井的盲测来验证模型,以预测离散相组。分析从数据准备和检查开始,其中对现有井数据的各种特征进行了条件反射。在模型构建和性能方面,将数据集分为训练井、测试井和盲测井数据,分别构建了支持向量机、随机森林、决策树、额外树、神经网络(多层感知器)、k近邻和逻辑回归模型。使用Jaccard指数和f1分数对各种模型进行盲测试的度量得分分别为:支持向量机0.73和0.82,随机森林0.38和0.54,额外树0.78和0.83,k-近邻0.91和0.95,决策树0.41和0.56,逻辑回归0.63和0.74,神经网络0.55和0.68。机器学习技术在提高预测精度和缩短程序时间方面的效率及其对数据的处理方法,使其在地下相分类分析中具有重要的可取性。
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引用次数: 1
3D Seismic Data Design, Acquisition and Interpretation of Kolmani Exploratory Field, Upper Benue Trough, Gongola Basin; Nigeria 贡拉盆地上贝努埃海槽Kolmani油田三维地震数据设计、采集与解释尼日利亚
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207118-ms
U. Abdulkadir, Jamaluddeen Hashim, Ajay Kumar, Umar Yau, Akpam Simon, A. Dawaki
In an Oil and Gas field development plan, identifying appropriate reservoir location of a field and deciding the best design strategy as well as meeting the economic hydrocarbon viability are imperative for sustainability. 3-Dimensional seismic data have become a key tool used by geophysicists in the Oil and Gas industry to identify and understand subsurface reservoir deposits. In addition to providing excellent structural images, the dense sampling of a 3D survey can sometimes make it possible to map reservoir quality and the distribution of Oil and Gas. Primarily, Seismic data sets were retrieved from the ongoing Kolmani exploratory work of upper Benue trough, bordering Gombe-Bauchi communities of Nigeria and Simulation study from improve design was conducted using PETREL and SURFER software's to obtain numerous coordinates from the source and receiver lines respectively and subsequent formation of strategic-designs that shows different arrangements of the prospect area, an interpretation of the acquired data sets that indicates the reservoir location appropriately and probable onset of drilling spot. The well to seismic was also merged using synthetic seismogram that shows the location of reservoir (s) from the seismic data obtained and four different wells with anticipated depths respectively. The overall aim of the whole design and simulation studies is to aid petroleum Geologist and Geophysicists avoids common pit falls by reducing dry holes and increasing the overall number of productive wells prior to actual commencement of drilling in this prospect area and elsewhere.
在油气田开发计划中,确定油田的合适储层位置,确定最佳设计策略,以及满足经济的油气可行性,对于可持续发展至关重要。三维地震数据已成为油气行业地球物理学家识别和了解地下储层的关键工具。除了提供出色的结构图像外,密集的三维测量采样有时还可以绘制储层质量和油气分布。首先,从正在进行的Benue上槽的Kolmani勘探工作中检索地震数据集,与尼日利亚Gombe-Bauchi社区相邻,并使用PETREL和SURFER软件进行了改进设计的模拟研究,分别从源线和接收线获得了大量坐标,随后形成了显示远景区的不同布置的策略设计。对获得的数据集进行解释,以适当地指示储层位置和可能的钻探点起始位置。利用合成地震图将井与地震数据进行合并,合成地震图根据地震数据和4口不同井的预测深度分别显示储层位置。整个设计和模拟研究的总体目标是帮助石油地质学家和地球物理学家在该远景区和其他地方实际开始钻井之前,通过减少干孔和增加生产井的总数来避免常见的坑落。
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引用次数: 0
Adulteration Detection of Petroleum Products at Point of Sale POS Terminals 销售点POS机石油产品掺假检测
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207101-ms
O. Ejofodomi, G. Ofualagba, D. Onyishi
In the Oil and Gas Industry, price disparity between Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), and Dual Purpose Kerosene (DPK), often leads to adulteration of these petroleum products by marketers for monetary gains. Adulteration is the illegal introduction of a foreign undesirable substance to a substrate which affects the quality of the substrate. Adulteration of petroleum products are difficult to detect at Point of Sale (POS) terminals. Current methods for adulteration detection are time-consuming, require specialized equipment and experienced technicians to operate them, and cannot be used at POS terminals. Gaseous Vapor Technique (GVE) is an innovative adulteration detection technique that can be employed at POS terminals and the PePVEAT device utilized in this study is the first portable electronic device that performs GVE on petroleum products. GVE testing was performed on pure 1 L samples of PMS, AGO, and DPK obtained from the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) using PePVEAT. The results obtained from GVE analysis of AGO, PMS, and DPK showed that the three petroleum products exhibited unique and varying chemical characteristics during GVE. AGO gives off its peak emissions between 10-20 seconds from test onset, DPK gives off its peak emissions between 10-30 seconds from test onset, and PMS gives off its peak emissions between 50-70 seconds from test onset. AGO emits 17.52-46.58 ppm of methane, 5.35-11.93 ppm of LPG, 35.51-84.6 ppm of butane, and 10.38-69.86 ppm of toluene. PMS emits 92,063.67-152,168.18 ppm of methane, 301.035-573.61 ppm of LPG, 2210.89-3424.94 ppm of butane, and 1983.02-7187.29 ppm of toluene. DPK emits 27.13-62.14 ppm of methane, 20.2-74.1 ppm of LPG, 120.41-1635.85 ppm of butane, and 1159.75- 1633.09 ppm of toluene. These variations in timing and concentrations of emissions shows that GVE can be utilized to detect and distinguish between AGO, PMS and DPK. The results obtained from GVE analysis of AGO, PMS, and DPK showed that Since PMS, AGO and DPK, each have unique chemical emissions during GVE, as was demonstrated in this paper, it is possible that GVE can be utilized to detect the adulterations of PMS with AGO and the adulteration of AGO with DPK. Future work involves investigating the ability of GVE to detect AGO-adulterated PMS, DPK-adulterated AGO, DPK-adulterated PMS, AGO-adulterated DPK,and PMS-adulterated DPK. The degree and percentage of adulteration that can be detected using the GVE technique will also be examined.
在石油和天然气行业,优质汽油(PMS)、车用汽油(AGO)和两用煤油(DPK)之间的价格差异,经常导致营销商为了赚钱而掺假这些石油产品。掺假是指非法将外来的不良物质引入基材,从而影响基材的质量。在销售点(POS)终端很难检测到石油产品的掺假。目前的掺假检测方法耗时长,需要专门的设备和经验丰富的技术人员来操作,并且不能在POS终端使用。气态蒸汽技术(GVE)是一种创新的掺假检测技术,可用于POS终端,本研究中使用的PePVEAT设备是第一个对石油产品进行GVE的便携式电子设备。使用PePVEAT对从尼日利亚国家石油公司(NNPC)获得的1 L PMS、AGO和DPK纯样品进行GVE检测。对AGO、PMS和DPK的GVE分析结果表明,三种石油产品在GVE过程中表现出独特且不同的化学特征。AGO的峰值排放在测试开始后10-20秒,DPK的峰值排放在测试开始后10-30秒,PMS的峰值排放在测试开始后50-70秒。AGO排放的甲烷为17.52-46.58 ppm,液化石油气为5.35-11.93 ppm,丁烷为35.51-84.6 ppm,甲苯为10.38-69.86 ppm。PMS排放的甲烷为92,063.67-152,168.18 ppm, LPG为301.035-573.61 ppm,丁烷为2210.89-3424.94 ppm,甲苯为1983.02-7187.29 ppm。DPK排放的甲烷为27.13-62.14 ppm, LPG为20.2-74.1 ppm,丁烷为120.41-1635.85 ppm,甲苯为1159.75- 1633.09 ppm。这些排放时间和浓度的变化表明,GVE可以用来检测和区分AGO、PMS和DPK。对AGO、PMS和DPK的GVE分析结果表明,由于PMS、AGO和DPK在GVE过程中都有独特的化学排放,正如本文所证明的那样,GVE可以用于检测PMS与AGO的掺假以及AGO与DPK的掺假。未来的工作包括研究GVE检测AGO掺假PMS、DPK掺假AGO、DPK掺假PMS、AGO掺假DPK和PMS掺假DPK的能力。还将检查使用GVE技术可以检测到的掺假程度和百分比。
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引用次数: 0
Unconventional Method of Estimating Oilfield Reserve Initially in Place Using Decline Trends Analyses Techniques 利用递减趋势分析技术初步估算油田储量的非常规方法
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207109-ms
Celestine A. Udie, F. Faithpraise, Agnes Anuka
Methods to estimate reserves, recovery factor and time are highlighted using uconventional method, to reduce the challenges in an oilfield development. General Information about reserves production estimation using long and short production data is collated. The collated data are plotted against time to build production decline curves. The curves are used to estimate the decline rate trends and constants. The decline constant is then used to predict reserves cumulative recovery. The rate trend is extrapolated to abandonment for estimation of reserves initially in place, recovery factor and the correspondent time. The reserves values are compared with field values for accuracy. It was observed that the result using data from long time production history accuracy was 99.98% while evaluation models built with data from short production history accuracy was 98.64%. The models are then adopted after validation. The validated curves are used to build the governing models which are finally used in estimating cumulative reserves recovery and initially in place. It is concluded that accurate reserves, recovery factor and time estimation challenges can be achieved/matched up using rate decline trend techniques.
重点介绍了利用非常规方法估算储量、采收率和时间的方法,以减少油田开发中的挑战。对利用长、短生产数据估计储量、产量的一般信息进行了整理。将整理后的数据按时间绘制成产量递减曲线。这些曲线用于估计下降速率趋势和常数。然后利用递减常数预测储量累积采收率。将速率趋势外推到弃井,以估计初始储量、采收率和相应的时间。为了准确性,将储量值与现场值进行比较。结果表明,利用长时间生产历史数据建立的评价模型准确率为99.98%,而利用短时间生产历史数据建立的评价模型准确率为98.64%。模型验证后采用。验证曲线用于建立控制模型,最终用于估计累积储量采收率和初始就位。结果表明,采用速率递减趋势技术可以实现准确的储量、采收率和时间估算。
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引用次数: 0
Innovative Use of Injectivity Tests as Interference Tests during Field Development: The EGINA Experience 油田开发中注入性测试作为干扰测试的创新应用:EGINA经验
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207181-ms
O. Mogbo, A. Atewologun
This paper presents the innovative use of interference tests in the assessment of reservoir connectivity and the field oil production rate during the development phase and prior to the first oil of the EGINA field, which is located in a water depth of 1600 m, deep offshore Niger Delta. The interference test campaign involved 26 pre-first oil wells (13 oil producers and 13 water injectors) to assess and subsequently mitigate reservoir connectivity uncertainties arising from the numerous faults and between the different channels within the complexes. The results proved valuable in confirming or otherwise reservoir connectivity, field oil production rate and the number of wells required at first oil to achieve the production plateau. The tests were designed using the analytical method (PIE software) and the reservoir simulation models enabling to establish the cumulative water injection required, the injection duration and the time a response is expected at the observers. These all had impacts on the planning, OIMR vessel requirements and selection of permanent downhole gauges for the wells. In addition, the tests were performed with the water injectors as pulsers and the oil producers as observers allowing to avoid and the associated environmental impact. Ten interference tests were realized compared to four planned in the FDP partly due to the use of the more cost effective OIMR vessel in addition to the rig.
本文介绍了干扰测试在EGINA油田开发阶段和第一次石油开采之前的油藏连通性和油田产量评估中的创新应用,该油田位于尼日尔三角洲近海水深1600米。干扰测试活动涉及26口预油井(13口采油井和13口注水井),以评估并随后减轻由复杂区内众多断层和不同通道之间产生的储层连通性不确定性。结果证明,在确定储层连通性、油田产油量以及首次采油达到生产平台所需的井数方面具有重要价值。测试采用分析方法(PIE软件)和油藏模拟模型进行设计,以确定所需的累计注水量、注水持续时间和预计在观察者处产生响应的时间。这些都影响了计划、OIMR容器的要求和井的永久井下仪表的选择。此外,在进行测试时,注水井作为脉冲泵,采油商作为观察员,以避免相关的环境影响。与FDP计划的4次干扰测试相比,完成了10次干扰测试,部分原因是除了钻井平台外,还使用了更具成本效益的OIMR船。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Digitalization in Decarbonizing the Oil and Gas Industry 数字化在油气行业脱碳中的作用
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207125-ms
Peace Bello
As the Oil & Gas industry journeys towards net zero carbon emissions, a lot needs to be done, one of which is the adoption of digital transformation across companies. Decarbonization requires a transformational shift in the way companies operate, how they source, use, consume and think about energy and feedstocks. If the Oil & Gas sector will continue to exist, it must carry out its activities in the safest possible way and digitalizing it will help in achieving this. A survey by Newsweek shows that areas where transformative technologies are having the biggest impact are production-related, operations and maintenance, enhanced recovery, fracking/tight reservoirs, and exploitation at greater depths. Luis Abril of Minsait opined that digital technology enables companies to extract more value from data, using new platforms to share data with the entire organization, suppliers, contractors, and partners. The real-time visualization of data helps optimize decision making. Big data can be analyzed to find answers to questions such as: What piece of equipment is showing signs of wear and should be replaced? What sort of predictive maintenance can be leveraged? What is the most effective fracking approach for this well? AI helps to reduce routine flaring, employ methane capture, optimize production and reservoir management using digital tools such as IoT sensors, digital twins, and virtual reality to model scenarios, monitor operations, track emissions, energy usage and proactively maintain equipment, produce lower-emission products by moving from one hydrocarbon to another (e.g., from coal to natural gas) or creating another product (such as biofuels or syngas). Transformative technologies, particularly IoT, mobility and cloud applications are going to have a profound effect on the future of the oil and gas sector. Investment in these technologies cost a lot which might be difficult for private companies, but it is worth the money in the long run.
随着油气行业向净零碳排放迈进,还有很多工作要做,其中之一就是在各个公司中采用数字化转型。脱碳需要企业在运营方式、采购、使用、消费方式以及对能源和原料的思考方面进行转型。如果油气行业要继续存在,就必须以最安全的方式开展活动,而数字化将有助于实现这一目标。《新闻周刊》的一项调查显示,变革技术影响最大的领域是与生产相关的、操作和维护、提高采收率、水力压裂/致密储层以及更深的开采。Minsait的Luis Abril认为,数字技术使公司能够从数据中提取更多价值,使用新的平台与整个组织、供应商、承包商和合作伙伴共享数据。数据的实时可视化有助于优化决策。通过分析大数据,可以找到以下问题的答案:哪些设备出现了磨损迹象,应该更换?可以利用什么样的预测性维护?对于这口井来说,最有效的压裂方法是什么?人工智能有助于减少常规燃除,采用甲烷捕获,使用物联网传感器、数字孪生和虚拟现实等数字工具优化生产和油藏管理,以模拟场景、监控操作、跟踪排放、能源使用和主动维护设备,通过从一种碳氢化合物转移到另一种碳氢化合物(例如,从煤到天然气)或创造另一种产品(如生物燃料或合成气)来生产低排放产品。变革性技术,尤其是物联网、移动性和云应用,将对油气行业的未来产生深远影响。这些技术的投资成本很高,这对私人公司来说可能很困难,但从长远来看,这是值得的。
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引用次数: 1
Development of a Real–Time Petroleum Products Aduteration Detector 实时石油产品掺假检测器的研制
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207127-ms
Olabisi Olotu, S. Isehunwa, B. Asiru, Z. Elakhame
Adulteration of petroleum products with the resultant safety, health, environmental and economic impact is a challenge in Nigeria and many developing countries. While the commonly used techniques by regulatory agencies and some end-users for quality assurance of petroleum products are time-consuming and expensive. This study was therefore designed to develop a device for real-time detection of petroleum products adulteration. Samples of petrol, diesel and kerosene were collected; samples of water, naphtha, alcohol, pure and used lubricating oil, and High Pour Fuel Oil (HPFO) were collected and used as liquid contaminants while saw dust, ash and fine sand were used as solid particulates. At temperatures between 23-28°C (1°C interval), binary mixtures were prepared using the pure products with liquid contaminants (95:5, ..,5: 95 V/V) and with particulates (0, 2, 4, 6, 8,10 g). New mixing rules were developed for the SG and IFT of the binary liquid mixtures and compared with Kay mixing rule. Developed mathematical models of the physical-chemical properties were used to simulate a meter designed and constructed around a microcontroller with multiple input/output pins and a load cell sensor. The SG and IFT of the pure liquid and solid binary mixtures ranged from 0.810 to 1.020, 25.5 to 47.2 dynes/cm and 0.820 to 1.080 and 26.3 and 50.2 dynes/cm respectively. For products contaminated with solid particulates, SG varied between 0.860 and 0.990. The new mixing rule gave coefficient of 0.84 and 27.8 for SG and IFT compared with 0.83 and 25.6 of Kay's model. Adulteration of products was detected at 20-30% by volume and 10-20% by mass of contamination, and displayed RED for adulterated samples, GREEN for pure samples and numerical values of SG in digital form which were within ±0.01 % of actual measurements. A device for real-time detection of adulteration in petroleum products was developed which can be adapted to real-time evaluation of similar binary mixtures.
石油产品掺假及其对安全、健康、环境和经济的影响是尼日利亚和许多发展中国家面临的挑战。而监管机构和一些终端用户常用的保证石油产品质量的技术既耗时又昂贵。因此,本研究旨在开发一种实时检测石油产品掺假的装置。收集了汽油、柴油和煤油样本;收集水、石脑油、酒精、纯润滑油和用过的润滑油以及高倾燃料油(HPFO)作为液体污染物,而锯末、灰分和细砂作为固体颗粒。在23-28°C(1°C区间)的温度下,将纯产物与液体污染物(95:5,…(5: 95 V/V)和颗粒(0、2、4、6、8、10 g)。对二元液体混合物的SG和IFT建立了新的混合规则,并与Kay混合规则进行了比较。开发了物理化学特性的数学模型,用于模拟围绕具有多个输入/输出引脚和称重传感器的微控制器设计和构建的仪表。纯液固二元混合物的SG和IFT分别为0.810 ~ 1.020、25.5 ~ 47.2 dynes/cm和0.820 ~ 1.080、26.3和50.2 dynes/cm。对于固体颗粒污染的产品,SG在0.860 ~ 0.990之间。与Kay模型的0.83和25.6相比,新的混合规则给出的SG和IFT系数分别为0.84和27.8。产品掺假量为20-30%(按体积计)和10-20%(按污染质量计),掺假样品显示为红色,纯样品显示为绿色,数字形式的SG数值与实际测量值相差在±0.01%以内。研制了一种石油产品掺假实时检测装置,适用于类似二元混合物的实时检测。
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引用次数: 0
Application of Machine Learning in Predicting Crude Oil Production Volume 机器学习在原油产量预测中的应用
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.2118/207079-ms
Okechukwu Innocent
The production of oil is of great and immense significance as a source of energy worldwide. The major factors affecting the production volume of oil is classified into two groups namely the geological and the human factor. Each group comprises of factors affecting oilfield production volume. The challenge in this project is to find the variable for the crude oil production volume in an oilfield because there are numerous factors affecting the crude oil production volume in an oilfield. The objective of this paper is to provide a more accurate and efficient solution on how to predict the oil production volume. Furthermore, Machine Learning algorithm called Multiple Linear Regression was developed using Python programming Language to predict the production volume of oil in an oilfield. The model was developed and fitted to train and test the factors that affect and influence the oil production volume. After a several studies have been made, the affecting factors were provided from the oilfield which would be trained and tested in order to model the relationship between predictor variable and response variable which are the significant affecting factors and the oil production volume respectively. The predictor variables are the startup number of wells, the recovery percent of previous year, the injected water volume of previous year and the oil moisture content of previous year. The predictor variable is the oil production volume. Moreover, the model was found to possess greater utility in predicting the production volume of oil as it yielded an oil production volume output with an accuracy of 98 percent. The relationship between oil production volume and the affecting factors was observed and drawn to a perfect conclusion. This model can be of immense value in the oil and gas industry if implemented because of its ability to predict oilfield output more accurately. It is an invaluable and very efficient model for the oilfield manager and oil production manager.
石油的生产作为一种能源在世界范围内具有巨大的意义。影响石油产量的主要因素可分为地质因素和人为因素两大类。每一组由影响油田产量的因素组成。由于影响油田原油产量的因素很多,因此该项目面临的挑战是找到油田原油产量的变量。本文的目的是为如何预测石油产量提供一个更准确、更有效的解决方案。此外,使用Python编程语言开发了称为多元线性回归的机器学习算法,用于预测油田的石油产量。该模型的建立和拟合是为了训练和测试影响产油量的因素。经过多次研究,给出了油田的影响因素,并对影响因素进行训练和测试,分别建立了预测变量和响应变量与产油量的关系模型。预测变量为开井数、前一年采收率、前一年注入水量和前一年油含水率。预测变量是产油量。此外,该模型在预测石油产量方面具有更大的效用,因为它产生的石油产量输出精度为98%。观察了采油量与影响因素之间的关系,得出了较为完善的结论。由于该模型能够更准确地预测油田产量,因此在油气行业中具有巨大的价值。对于油田管理者和石油生产管理者来说,这是一个非常宝贵和高效的模型。
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引用次数: 2
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Day 2 Tue, August 03, 2021
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