了解汽车共享的需求:来自意大利案例研究的教训

IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS International Journal of Transport Economics Pub Date : 2014-11-01 DOI:10.1400/228409
R. Danielis, Lucia Rotaris, Andrea Rusich, E. Valeri
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文的目的是估计汽车共享的潜在需求,为此,建立了一个模型来计算给定的移动模式和运输模式组合的总广义成本。该模型考虑:a)一个人有时与朋友和家人一起旅行,因此分担旅行费用和/或满足几种旅行需求;b)在给定时间段内使用多种交通方式。模型的参数是通过详细的、面对面的、计算机辅助的访谈得来的。到目前为止,已经完成了数量有限的采访。然而,它们暗示了一些非常有趣的经验证据。研究发现,目前意大利家庭的汽车拥有率非常高,汽车被广泛用于工作/学习,特别是用于工作/学习以外的旅行目的。提供汽车共享服务(CS)可以增加出行方式的选择,在某些情况下,还可以降低总出行成本。受访者认为拥有一辆车的乐趣非常重要,远远高于成为共享汽车用户的乐趣,无论是对上班族还是学生来说都是如此。因此,受访者不喜欢没有私家车,而能够在私家车和共享汽车之间做出选择,尤其是学生。流动成本指标反映了样本基于偏好的选择,但并不完美。进一步分析了三个单独的案例研究。它们被定义为:低、中、高流动性案例研究。低机动性的案例研究表明,这些人将在很大程度上受益于CS服务的存在,他们会偶尔使用它,他们可能愿意放弃私家车。中等出行案例研究表明,停车时间、通行时间和公交费用等变量可以很容易地在公交使用的便利性和不便性之间进行平衡切换。在小城镇环境中进行的高流动性案例研究表明,在这种情况下,可行的CS服务的前景相当黯淡。
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UNDERSTANDING THE DEMAND FOR CARSHARING: LESSONS FROM ITALIAN CASE STUDIES
The aim of this paper is to estimate the potential demand for carsharing, to this aim a model which calculates the total generalized cost for a given mobility pattern and transport mode mix is developed. The model considers : a) that a person sometimes travels with friends and family, and therefore shares the travel expenses and/or satisfies several travel needs, and b) that uses in given time period more than one mode of transport. The parameters of the model are derived by detailed, face-to-face, computer-assisted interviews. A limited number of interviews have been so far completed. However, they hint to some very interesting empirical evidence. It is found that car ownership is currently very high in the Italian families and that the car is used extensively both for work\study and, especially, for other-than-work\study trip purposes. Offering a carsharing service (CS) would enhance the mode choice and could, in some cases, lower the total mobility costs. The respondents assign quite a large value to the pleasure of owning a car, much more so than the pleasure of being carsharing users, both for workers and for students. Consequently, the respondents would dislike not owing a private car, while having the choice between the private and the carsharing car is preferred especially by the students. The mobility cost indicators reflect, but not perfectly, the preference-based choices of the sample. Three individual case studies are further analyzed. They have been defined as : a low, a medium and a high mobility case study. The low mobility case study shows that these persons would largely benefit from the existence of a CS service, they would use it occasionally and they would probably be willing to forgo the private car. The medium mobility case study shows that the variables parking time, access time and CS fare can easily switch the balance between convenience and inconvenience of using CS. The higher mobility case study in a small town setting demonstrates that in such circumstances the prospects for a viable CS service are rather bleak.
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