乌拉圭东南部蓝桉人工林二次轮作替代方案的经济分析

G. Balmelli, Pilar Gasparri, V. Morales Olmos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

蓝桉是乌拉圭种植最多的森林树种之一。然而,其对病害的高度易感性决定了近年来大多数人工林在收获时被其他物种取代,主要是dunnii E.和smithii E.。决定是继续维持该人工林作为灌木林再作一次轮作,还是进行重新种植,取决于这两种选择的预期经济结果。因此,本研究的目的是估计一种不同种类的球冷杉和一种不同种类的杜尼冷杉和史密斯冷杉的新人工林的收益。此外,还进行了敏感性分析,以研究人工林生产力、到销售点的距离和木材价格的最终变化的影响。结果表明,3种替代方案均具有经济可行性,但以林下经营和补种褐叶松比补种褐叶松更具有经济效益。另一方面,森林管理是一种需要较少投资和风险较小的选择,因为它对决定经济结果的主要变量的变化不太敏感。
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Economic analysis of alternatives for second rotations in Eucalyptus globulus plantations in southeast Uruguay
Eucalyptus globulus is one of the most planted forest species in Uruguay. However, its high susceptibility to diseases has determined that in recent years most plantations reaching harvest are replaced by other species, mainly E. dunnii and E. smithii. The decision whether to maintain the plantation for an additional rotation as coppice crop or to carry out a replanting depends on the expected economic results of both alternatives. Therefore, the objective of this research was to estimate the profitability of a coppice crop of E. globulus and that of a new plantation, with two different species, E. dunnii and E. smithii. In addition, a sensitivity analysis was carried out to study the impact of eventual variations in plantation productivity, in distance to the point of sale, and in the price of wood. Results showed that the three alternatives analyzed are economically viable, but that the management as coppice crop and the replanting with E. smithii are more profitable than replanting with E. dunnii. On the other hand, the coppice management is the alternative that requires less investment and that presents fewer risks, since it is less sensitive to changes in the main variables that determine the economic result.
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