来自摩洛哥Benguerir CAMS McClear模式的晴空条件下地表太阳辐照度估算和预报的验证

Omaima El Alani, A. Ghennioui, A. A. Merrouni, H. Ghennioui, Y. Saint-Drenan, P. Blanc
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引用次数: 13

摘要

McClear是一个无云(晴空)条件下地表太阳辐照度的快速模型,基于辐射传输模型libRadtran,该模型利用晴空大气光学特性(特别是不同波长下的部分和总气溶胶光学深度- aod,水蒸气和臭氧的总含量),由欧盟资助的哥白尼大气监测服务(CAMS)提供。该模型提供自2004年以来任何地点和任何时间的全球漫射水平辐照度和直接正常辐照度,延迟2天,时间分辨率可达1分钟(插值)。在本文中,我们首次验证了McClear晴空辐照度模型对摩洛哥Benguerir特定气候的影响。McClear的验证是通过比较安装在绿色能源公园Benguerir的高精度热电堆辐射计站的1分钟平均晴空辐照度数据(GHI:全球水平辐照度和DNI:直接正常辐照度)和McClear在同一时刻的估定值来完成的。全球水平辐照度的偏差为5w - m-2(平均观测辐照度的0.6%)。均方根误差(RMSE)为17 W m-2(2.2%),相关系数(CC)为0.996。直接正常辐照度的偏差为-17 W - m-2(- 1.9%)。RMSE为58 W m-2(6.7%),相关系数(CC)为0.845。利用CAMS提供的晴空状态预报,对McClear提前一天预报晴空GHI和DNI的能力进行了相同类型的比较。这些比较在GHI和DNI平均1分钟剖面上的偏差、RMSE、STDE和相关系数分别为- 0.8%、3.3%、3.3%和0.991。对于DNI -2.8%, 9.9%, 9.5%和0.779。McClear是一个无云(晴空)条件下地表太阳辐照度的快速模型,基于辐射传输模型libRadtran,该模型利用晴空大气光学特性(特别是不同波长下的部分和总气溶胶光学深度- aod,水蒸气和臭氧的总含量),由欧盟资助的哥白尼大气监测服务(CAMS)提供。该模型提供自2004年以来任何地点和任何时间的全球漫射水平辐照度和直接正常辐照度,延迟2天,时间分辨率可达1分钟(插值)。在本文中,我们首次验证了McClear晴空辐照度模型对摩洛哥Benguerir特定气候的影响。McClear的验证是通过比较安装在绿色能源公园Benguerir的高精度热电堆辐射计站的1分钟平均晴空辐照度数据(GHI:全球水平辐照度和DNI:直接正常辐照度)和va…
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Validation of surface solar irradiances estimates and forecast under clear-sky conditions from the CAMS McClear model in Benguerir, Morocco
McClear is a fast model of surface solar irradiance under cloudless condition (clear-sky), based on the radiative transfer model libRadtran that exploits the clear sky atmospheric optical properties (notably partial and total aerosol optical depths —AOD— at different wavelengths, total contents of water vapor and ozone) provided by the EU-funded Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS). This model provides global, diffuse horizontal irradiances and direct normal irradiance at any place and any time since 2004 onwards, with 2 days of delay, with temporal resolution up to 1 min (interpolation). In this paper, we present a first validation of the McClear clear sky irradiance model for the specific climate of Benguerir, Morocco. McClear’s validation was performed by comparing the 1 min average clear sky irradiance data (GHI: Global Horizontal Irradiance and DNI: Direct Normal Irradiance) from a high precision thermopile-based pyranometric station installed in Benguerir at Green Energy Park, and the values estimated by McClear for the same instants. The bias for global horizontal irradiance is 5 W m-2 (0.6 % of the mean observed irradiance). The root means square error (RMSE) is 17 W m-2 (2.2 %) and the correlation coefficient (CC) is 0.996. The bias for the direct normal irradiance is -17 W m-2 (-1.9 %). The RMSE is 58 W m-2 (6.7 %) and the correlation coefficient (CC) is 0.845. The same types of comparison have been done to assess the ability of McClear to forecast clear-sky GHI and DNI one day-ahead, using the provided forecasts of the state of the clear atmosphere by CAMS. The Bias, RMSE, STDE and correlation coefficient of such comparisons on the average 1-min profile of GHI and DNI from McClear are respectively for GHI - 0.8%, 3.3%, 3.3% and 0.991. For DNI -2.8%, 9.9%, 9.5% and 0.779.McClear is a fast model of surface solar irradiance under cloudless condition (clear-sky), based on the radiative transfer model libRadtran that exploits the clear sky atmospheric optical properties (notably partial and total aerosol optical depths —AOD— at different wavelengths, total contents of water vapor and ozone) provided by the EU-funded Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS). This model provides global, diffuse horizontal irradiances and direct normal irradiance at any place and any time since 2004 onwards, with 2 days of delay, with temporal resolution up to 1 min (interpolation). In this paper, we present a first validation of the McClear clear sky irradiance model for the specific climate of Benguerir, Morocco. McClear’s validation was performed by comparing the 1 min average clear sky irradiance data (GHI: Global Horizontal Irradiance and DNI: Direct Normal Irradiance) from a high precision thermopile-based pyranometric station installed in Benguerir at Green Energy Park, and the va...
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