中南合作联盟地区的内向和外向溢出效应

政治经济学季刊 Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI:10.5089/9781475522419.001.A001

Jorge Iván Canales-Kriljenko, Farayi Gwenhamo, Saji Thomas

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引用次数: 20

摘要

南非对南非关税同盟其他成员国(即博茨瓦纳、莱索托、纳米比亚和斯威士兰)的溢出效应是巨大的，反映了相当大的实体和金融相互联系。然而，对南非实际国内生产总值增长的冲击似乎并不系统地影响BLNS国家作为一个群体的增长发展。然而，允许具体国家参数的向量自回归表明，对较小经济体有一些强烈的溢出效应。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Inward and Outward Spillovers in the SACU Area

Spillovers from South Africa into the other members of the Souther Africa Customs Union (known as the BLNS for Botstwana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland) are substantial reflecting sizeable real and financial interlinkages. However, shocks to real GDP growth in South Africa do not seem to systematically affect growth developments in BLNS countries as a group. Nevertheless, vector autoregressions, which allow country-specific parameters, suggest some strong spillovers onto the smaller economies.

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政治经济学季刊

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127