博科圣地组织活动对尼日利亚预算流程影响的实证分析

J. Adinoyi, Martin Ouma, M. Nzau
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在非洲面临恐怖主义的国家不能充分检查、倡导和实现公共财政管理(PFM)。博科-哈拉姆在尼日利亚东北部的活动扰乱了公共活动,影响了主要利益攸关方对预算进程的参与、预算信息的提供和预算执行。本研究探讨了博科圣地对预算透明度和问责制的影响。研究设计是通过访谈和文献研究得出的。对变量进行诊断检验,确认其信度、效度和正态性。使用李克特量表来了解被调查者的意见。本研究采用描述性和推理性分析。通过显著回归模型(p值<0.05),分析显示恐怖主义对预算绩效的影响占89.28%。作者注意到,很少有学者研究恐怖主义如何破坏预算作为经济治理中PFM的一个方面。因此,建议在这一主题领域进行更多的研究,特别是在非洲其他受恐怖主义影响的国家。本文建议加强政策支持,包括提高公众对预算文件的可及性,在安全地点建立公民参与预算过程的协商论坛,以及相关政府机构及时发布预算报告和审计。收稿日期:2023年4月17日/收稿日期:2023年6月30日/发表日期:2023年7月5日
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An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Boko-Haram Activities on Budgeting Processes in Nigeria
Countries faced with terrorism in Africa cannot adequately check, advocate, and enable the delivery of public financial management (PFM). The activities of Boko-Haram in Northeastern Nigeria have disrupted public activities and affected key stakeholders’ involvement in the budget process, availability of budgeting information and budget performance. This study interrogates the impact of Boko-Haram on budgeting transparency and accountability. The research design was informed by interviews and documented studies. A diagnostic test was conducted on variables to confirm their reliability, validity and normality. Likert scale was used to find out the opinions of the respondents. Descriptive and inferential analysis was adopted in this research. With a significant regression model (p-value <0.05), the analysis shows that terrorism accounts for 89.28% variation in budget performance. The authors noted fewer scholarly efforts to interrogate how terrorism undermines budgeting as an aspect of PFM in economic governance. Hence recommends more research in this subject area, particularly in other terror affected countries in Africa. This paper recommends increased policy support by enhancing public accessibility of budget documents, engendering consultative forums for citizens' participation in the budget process in secure locations, and timely budgetary reports and audits by relevant government agencies.   Received: 17 April 2023 / Accepted: 30 June 2023 / Published: 5 July 2023
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