政变和大屠杀的结束

IF 1.7 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Journal of Global Security Studies Pub Date : 2023-03-15 DOI:10.1093/jogss/ogad008
Gary Uzonyi, Matthew S Wells
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为什么大屠杀会结束?人们最关注的是制止暴行的国际工具。相反,我们通过关注政权内部的分歧如何在暴力期间导致政变,来考虑国内政治如何改变杀戮的持续时间。政变有助于改变政权偏好,削弱继续杀戮的能力。我们通过统计分析1946年至2013年政变与每次大屠杀事件结束之间的关系,找到了支持这一论点的证据。我们定量地探索每一种机制,并用一系列的例子来说明这些机制在起作用。
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Coups and the End of Mass-Killing Episodes
Why do mass-killing episodes end? Most attention is paid to international tools for ending atrocities. Instead, we consider how domestic politics alter the duration of killing by focusing on how divisions within the regime may lead to coups during the violence. Coups help shift regime preferences and undermine capacity to continue killings. We find support for this argument by statistically analyzing the relationship between coups and the end of each mass-killing episode from 1946 to 2013. We explore each mechanism quantitatively, and buttress these results with a series of examples illustrating the mechanisms at work.
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来源期刊
Journal of Global Security Studies
Journal of Global Security Studies INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
6.20%
发文量
34
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