机器学习在气举性能和井完整性中的应用

M. S. Yakoot, A. Ragab, O. Mahmoud
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引用次数: 1

摘要

对于不同类型的井,构建和维护完整性需要准确评估所构成的风险水平,特别是当一个或一组屏障失效时。风险评估和油井完整性(WI)分类通常使用传统的电子表格和内部软件进行,这些软件存在固有的错误。这主要是因为他们服从于所分配的团队对WI数据的理解和解释。由于这些限制,工业实践涉及收集和分析故障数据,通过某些既定的概率/可能性矩阵来估计风险水平。然而,由于失效数据的可能偏差和随之而来的误导性评估,这些矩阵变得效率较低。这项工作的主要目标是利用机器学习(ML)算法开发一个强大的模型,并预测气举井的WI风险类别。本研究中实现的ML算法有;逻辑回归,决策树,随机森林,支持向量机,k近邻和梯度增强算法。此外,这些算法还用于建立物理方程来预测风险类别。收集了3000个WI和气举数据集,进行了预处理,并将其输入ML模型。新开发的模型可以预测井的风险水平,并提供一种独特的方法,将井包络层中每个元素的相关失效风险转化为有形价值。这显示了总潜在风险以及井眼屏障的整体完整性状况。ML的实施可以增强棕地资产运营,降低干预成本,更好地通过现场控制WI,提高业务绩效,优化生产。
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Machine Learning Application for Gas Lift Performance and Well Integrity
Constructing and maintaining integrity for different types of wells requires accurate assessment of posed risk level, especially when one barrier element or group of barriers fails. Risk assessment and well integrity (WI) categorization is conducted typically using traditional spreadsheets and in-house software that contain their own inherent errors. This is mainly because they are subjected to the understanding and the interpretation of the assigned team to WI data. Because of these limitations, industrial practices involve the collection and analysis of failure data to estimate risk level through certain established probability/likelihood matrices. However, those matrices have become less efficient due to the possible bias in failure data and consequent misleading assessment. The main objective of this work is to utilize machine learning (ML) algorithms to develop a powerful model and predict WI risk category of gas-lifted wells. ML algorithms implemented in this study are; logistic regression, decision trees, random forest, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, and gradient boosting algorithms. In addition, those algorithms are used to develop physical equation to predict risk category. Three thousand WI and gas-lift datasets were collected, preprocessed, and fed into the ML model. The newly developed model can predict well risk level and provide a unique methodology to convert associated failure risk of each element in the well envelope into tangible value. This shows the total potential risk and hence the status of well-barrier integrity overall. The implementation of ML can enhance brownfield asset operations, reduce intervention costs, better control WI through the field, improve business performance, and optimize production.
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