巴基斯坦信德省棉花可持续生产面临的威胁与挑战:气候变化脆弱性评估与适应以应对气候变化

Himatullah ., A. Imran, T. G. Mahesar, Muhammad Sohaib, Muhammad Habib ur Rahman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目前的棉花生产系统最容易受到世界上极端气候的影响,尤其是在巴基斯坦的信德省。现在更需要评估气候脆弱性,开发适应气候变化的生产技术和适应计划,以应对极端气候。在信德省的三个地区(Ghotki、Sukkur和Khairpur)进行了一项研究。收集了棉花种植户(小、中、大土地拥有量)和棉花各相关部门的一手资料和二次资料。本研究使用了三种数据收集工具。通过与当地棉花种植者进行焦点小组讨论(fgd),直接从农民那里收集了主要数据。主要举报人访谈指南用于与政府官员和其他与棉花有关的部门进行协商。采用随机抽样的方式对这三个地区的棉农进行调查。HCPL与受益农民(男性和女性)进行了13次fgd。其中,在3个研究地区,有7次是与男性农民进行的农家乐,6次是与女性农民进行的农家乐。在每个fgd中,10至12名农民积极参与讨论和数据收集。通过fgd共咨询了研究地区的130名农民。结果表明,当前的棉花生产系统易受气候变化的影响,需要采用良好的管理规范来适应气候变化的特定生产技术。由于作物竞争和资源不可用,棉花种植面积已经转移到甘蔗等其他作物,因此需要气候适应计划来降低生产成本。由于气候条件潮湿,甘蔗种植面积的增加也会对棉花产生负面影响,并导致更多的虫害。目前,在5月份,棉花在小麦之后播种,而种子、肥料和管理措施等投入不理想和不合格。农民也缺乏气候知识,同时也没有向农民提供有关极端气候条件(干旱、高温和洪水)的天气农业咨询系统。与该地区其他作物一样,棉花作物也需要财政激励制度。在这个地区没有高质量的种子和低成本的投入。存在知识缺口,需要农民田间学校开展农民适应气候变化生产技术的能力建设。棉花作物对天气非常敏感,而根系气候预报也缺失,需要加强系统向棉农传递信息,从而对棉花进行相应的管理。还需要加强与致力于提高棉花产量的研究机构和学术界的协调和生产联系。适应气候变化的生产技术转让也需要减轻气候变化的负面影响。需要加强棉花营销体系,使棉花价值链的关键行为体有效发挥作用。
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Threats and Challenges for Sustainable Cotton Production in Sindh, Pakistan: Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation to Combat Climate Change
Current cotton production systems are most vulnerable to climate extremes in the world but particularly in Sindh, Pakistan. There is a drier need to assess the climate vulnerability and develop climate-resilient production technologies and adaptation plan to combat the climate extremes. A study was conducted in three districts of Sindh province (Ghotki, Sukkur, and Khairpur). Both primary and secondary data of cotton growers (small, medium and large land holding) and different relevant departments of cotton was collected. Three data collection tools were used in this study. Primary data was collected directly from farmers by conducting Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) by engaging local cotton growers. Key informant interviews (KIIs) guide was used for the consultation with officials in government and other cotton related departments. Survey of cotton growers/farmers were conducted in these three districts by selecting farmers randomly. HCPL has conducted 13 FGDs with the beneficiary’s farmers (men and women). Out of the total, seven FGDs were conducted with male farmers and six FGDs were held with female farmers in three studied districts. In each FGDs 10 to 12 farmers participated actively in the discussion and data collection. In total 130 farmers consulted through FGDs in the studied region. Results showed that, the current cotton production system is vulnerable to climate change and climate resilient site-specific production technologies are required by adopting good management practices. Due to competing crops and unavailability of resources, cotton crop area has been shifted to other crops like sugarcane, so climate adaptation plan is required to reduce the cost of production. Increasing area under sugarcane crop also has negative effect on cotton crop due to high humid climatic conditions and leads to more insect pest infestation. Currently, cotton is being sown after wheat during the month of May, while sub optimum and substandard input like seed, fertilizer, and management practices being used. Farmers are also lacking in climate knowledge, and while there is no weather agro-advisory system available for farmers related to climate extremes conditions (drought, heat, and floods). Financial incentive system is also required for cotton crop just like other crops in the region. Good quality seed and input at lower rates are unavailable in this region. There is knowledge gap existed and farmer’s field school are required to develop the capacity building of the farmers to adopt climate resilient production technology. Cotton crop is sensitive to weather while climate forecast is also missing at gross root level, there is need to strength the system to deliver the information to the cotton growers to manage the cotton accordingly. There also need to strength the coordination and productive linkages with research institutes and academia that are working for the production enhancement of cotton crop. Climate resilient production technology transfer is also required to mitigate the negative effects of climate change. There is need to strengthen the marketing system of cotton for effective functioning of the key cotton value chain actors.
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