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引用次数: 4
摘要
在本研究中,我们分析了2004年加入欧盟的维谢格拉德集团(V4)的四个国家(捷克、波兰、匈牙利和斯洛伐克)在2000年至2016年间的经济增长和结构变化。我们的研究考虑的是,在大约15年的时间里,V4国家的地区是否可以观察到趋同,即欠发达地区是否赶上了较发达地区。区域的经济增长是否以与国家类似的相对稳定的速度进行,或者区域集团(趋同俱乐部)之间是否存在分歧,趋同到不同的稳定状态。如果有趋同俱乐部,俱乐部的经济结构和劳动力基础是否相似或不同。我们的研究分为两个步骤;首先,采用Phillips and Sul 2007年的log -检验方法,将115个nut - 3地区划分为收敛俱乐部(convergence clubs),呈现了其经济增长特征。然后,我们进行了熵计算来测试俱乐部的稳健性,这提供了关于俱乐部内部和俱乐部之间以及国家内部和国家之间差异的信息。其次,我们介绍了俱乐部的经济结构和城乡类型,涵盖了其劳动力基础的主要特征以及从一个俱乐部到另一个俱乐部的转变取决于哪些因素。本研究的主要结论是,五个趋同俱乐部是完全独立的,它们的经济结构和劳动力基础也不同。
CONVERGENCE CLUBS OF NUTS3 REGIONS OF THE V4 GROUP
In this study, we analyse economic growth and structural change between 2000 and 2016 in the NUTS3 regions of the four countries forming the Visegrad Group (V4) and joining the European Union in 2004, Czechia, Poland, Hungary, and Slovakia. Our examination considers whether convergence can be observed in the case of the regions in the V4 countries over about one and a half decades, i.e., whether less developed regions catch up with more developed ones. Whether the economic growth of the regions took place at a relatively steady pace similar to that of the countries, or if there is a divide between the groups of regions (convergence clubs), which converge to different steady states. If there are convergence clubs, are the economic structure and workforce base of the clubs similar or different. Our study has two steps; first, we divide the 115 NUTS3 regions into convergence clubs with Phillips and Sul’s 2007 logt-test method, presenting the characteristics of their economic growth. We then conducted entropy calculations to test the robustness of the clubs, which provided information on the disparities inside and between the clubs, as well as inside and between the countries. Next, we present the economic structure and urbanrural types of clubs, covering the main characteristics of their labour force base and what factors the transition from one club to another depends on. The main conclusion of our study is that the five convergence clubs are completely separate and their economic structure and labour force base are also different.