基于行业环境的个股预测神经网络框架设计

Qing Zhu , Jianhua Che , Yuze Li , Renxian Zuo
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引用次数: 9

摘要

从行业环境因素中准确预测个股财务状况存在研究空白。因此,为了预测目标股收盘价的交易策略,本研究构建了一个混合变分模分解和堆叠门控循环单元(VMD-StackedGRU)模型的预测模块和环境模块,个股信息输入到预测模块,行业信息输入到环境模块。美国银行业泛化检验的结果证明,提出的模型可以显著提高预测性能,环境模块没有发挥重要作用,不等于预测模块。混合神经网络框架是一种基于行业环境的金融价格预测新应用。盈利的交易策略和准确的预测在对冲市场波动风险和确保投资者和投资机构获得可观回报方面是有价值的。
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A new prediction NN framework design for individual stock based on the industry environment

There is a research gap in accurately predicting an individual stock’s finances from industry environment factors. Therefore, to predict trading strategies for a target stock’s closing price, this study constructed a prediction module and an environment module for a hybrid variational mode decomposition and stacked gated recurrent unit (VMD-StackedGRU) model, with individual stock information input into the prediction module and industry information input into the environment module. The results from the U.S. banking industry generalization tests proved that the proposed model could significantly improve prediction performances and that the environment module did not play an important role and was not equal to the prediction module. The hybrid neural network framework was a new application for financial price predictions based on an industry environment. Profitable trading strategies and accurate predictions can be valuable in hedging against market volatility risk and in assuring significant returns for investors and investment institutions.

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